Climate Risk in Tawonga South, VIC

Tawonga South, Victoria· Alpine· 3698
Updated May 2026

Tawonga South faces increasing risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves due to climate change. The suburb's proximity to the Kiewa River and surrounding bushland makes it particularly vulnerable. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Tawonga South Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Tawonga South, Victoria, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tawonga South

Flood

Tawonga South faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Kiewa River and surrounding waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine flooding, impacting properties and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use

Bushfire

The area surrounding Tawonga South is prone to bushfires, particularly during hot and dry summer months. The presence of dense vegetation increases the risk of fire ignition and spread.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Tawonga South experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Tawonga South is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tawonga South

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Tawonga South experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Tawonga South faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Kiewa River and surrounding waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine flooding, impacting properties and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use
  • ·Aging infrastructure
Data source

coastal Risk

Tawonga South is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

Data source

bushfire Risk

The area surrounding Tawonga South is prone to bushfires, particularly during hot and dry summer months. The presence of dense vegetation increases the risk of fire ignition and spread.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risks of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire overlays.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Consider the long-term climate risks.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in flood mitigation infrastructure, such as levees and drainage systems, to protect properties from flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire prevention measures, such as fuel reduction burns and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Preparedness

Near-term

Develop a heatwave response plan and provide cooling centers for vulnerable residents.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Education

Long-term

Raise awareness about climate risks and adaptation measures through community workshops and information campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Tawonga South's Climate Risk Profile

Tawonga South, nestled in the Alpine region of Victoria, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns are rising flood risk due to more intense rainfall events, heightened bushfire danger during prolonged dry periods, and increasing heatwave frequency and intensity.

The Kiewa River poses a significant flood threat to properties in low-lying areas. Climate projections indicate that rainfall intensity will increase, leading to more frequent and severe flooding events. This could damage homes, businesses, and infrastructure, disrupting daily life and causing economic losses.

The surrounding bushland presents a substantial bushfire risk, especially during the summer months. Higher temperatures and drier conditions are expected to exacerbate this risk, increasing the likelihood of fire ignition and spread. Residents need to be vigilant and prepared to evacuate if necessary.

Heatwaves are also becoming more common and intense, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses. It is crucial to take precautions during heatwaves, such as staying hydrated, seeking air-conditioned environments, and checking on neighbors.

Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including investing in flood mitigation infrastructure, implementing bushfire prevention measures, and promoting heatwave preparedness. Community engagement and education are also essential to ensure that residents are aware of the risks and know how to protect themselves.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Tawonga South?

The main climate risks are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves.

How can I prepare for a flood in Tawonga South?

Stay informed about flood warnings, have an evacuation plan, and protect your property.

What should I do during a bushfire?

Follow emergency service instructions, evacuate if necessary, and protect yourself from smoke.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Tawonga South?

Contact the Alpine Shire Council or visit the websites of relevant government agencies.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Tawonga South, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Tawonga South's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Tawonga South, VIC | ClimateNest