Climate Risk in Stavely, Victoria

Stavely, Victoria· Ararat Rural City
Updated June 2026

Stavely faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is projected to increase the severity and frequency of these events, requiring proactive adaptation measures.

Is Stavely Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Stavely, Victoria, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Not ready to check your address? See a free sample report →

Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Stavely

Flood

Stavely faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from intense rainfall events and nearby waterways. Local drainage infrastructure may be overwhelmed during heavy downpours.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

The area surrounding Stavely is prone to bushfires, particularly during hot and dry summer months. The presence of grasslands and nearby forests increases the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load

Heat

Stavely experiences periods of high temperatures during summer, leading to potential heat stress for vulnerable populations. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves

Coastal

Stavely is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Stavely

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Stavely experiences periods of high temperatures during summer, leading to potential heat stress for vulnerable populations. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
  • ·Climate change
Data source

flood Risk

Stavely faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from intense rainfall events and nearby waterways. Local drainage infrastructure may be overwhelmed during heavy downpours.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

Stavely is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.

Data source

bushfire Risk

The area surrounding Stavely is prone to bushfires, particularly during hot and dry summer months. The presence of grasslands and nearby forests increases the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load
  • ·Higher temperatures
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the elevated risk of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire overlays
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves
  • 3.Review insurance options
  • 4.Develop an emergency plan

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement bushfire management strategies

Near-term

Conduct fuel reduction burns and create firebreaks to reduce the risk of bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a heatwave response plan

Immediate

Establish cooling centers and provide support for vulnerable residents during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote community awareness

Long-term

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Stavely's Climate Risk Profile

Stavely, located in Victoria, is exposed to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding due to intense rainfall, bushfires during dry seasons, and heatwaves in summer.

Flooding can occur when local waterways overflow or drainage systems are overwhelmed. Bushfire risk is elevated due to the surrounding vegetation and dry conditions. Heatwaves pose a threat to vulnerable residents, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks. Projections indicate an increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, including more severe floods, longer bushfire seasons, and hotter summers. This will require the community to adapt and implement strategies to mitigate the impacts.

Local authorities and residents need to work together to enhance resilience. This includes improving infrastructure, implementing early warning systems, and promoting community awareness. Individual actions, such as preparing emergency kits and developing evacuation plans, are also crucial.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Stavely?

The main climate risks in Stavely are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase with climate change.

How can I prepare for a flood in Stavely?

You can prepare for a flood by developing an emergency plan, assembling an emergency kit, and staying informed about weather forecasts.

What should I do during a heatwave in Stavely?

During a heatwave, stay indoors, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

How is the local council addressing climate change in Stavely?

The Ararat Rural City Council is developing and implementing climate strategies to reduce emissions and enhance community resilience.

Where can I find more information about climate risks in Stavely?

You can find more information about climate risks in Stavely on the Ararat Rural City Council website, the Bureau of Meteorology website, and the Victorian State Emergency Service website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Stavely, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Stavely's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Stavely, VIC | ClimateNest