Climate Risk Assessment: Smoko, VIC
Smoko, Victoria, faces moderate climate risks, particularly from bushfires and flooding. Increasing temperatures and changing rainfall patterns are expected to exacerbate these risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Smoko Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Smoko, Victoria, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Smoko
Flood
Smoko faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from the Buffalo River. Local rainfall intensity and catchment saturation influence flood potential.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Catchment saturation
Bushfire
Smoko is located in a bushfire-prone area, with significant bushland surrounding the town. Dry conditions and strong winds exacerbate the risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Smoko experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Smoko is not directly exposed to coastal risks due to its inland location.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Smoko
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Smoko experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect (minor)
flood Risk
Smoko faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from the Buffalo River. Local rainfall intensity and catchment saturation influence flood potential.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Catchment saturation
- ·Riverine overflow
bushfire Risk
Smoko is located in a bushfire-prone area, with significant bushland surrounding the town. Dry conditions and strong winds exacerbate the risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Strong winds
- ·Proximity to bushland
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the elevated bushfire and flood risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire overlays.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to extreme weather.
- 3.Obtain comprehensive insurance coverage.
- 4.Develop an emergency plan.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Develop a Bushfire Survival Plan
ImmediateCreate a detailed plan for evacuating your property in the event of a bushfire, including designated escape routes and emergency supplies.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreImprove Home Insulation
Near-termEnhance your home's insulation to reduce energy consumption and maintain a comfortable indoor temperature during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreInstall Rainwater Tanks
Long-termCollect rainwater for non-potable uses, such as gardening and toilet flushing, to reduce reliance on mains water during droughts.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreSupport Local Fire Brigade
ImmediateVolunteer with or donate to the local Country Fire Authority (CFA) to support their efforts in preventing and fighting bushfires.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Smoko's Climate Risk Profile
Smoko, located in the Alpine region of Victoria, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include bushfires, driven by hotter, drier conditions, and flooding from the Buffalo River due to more intense rainfall events.
The bushfire risk is significant due to the extensive surrounding bushland. Higher temperatures and prolonged dry periods increase the likelihood of fires, threatening both property and lives. Residents need to maintain firebreaks and have evacuation plans in place.
Flooding is another concern, with the Buffalo River prone to overflowing during heavy rainfall. Climate change is projected to increase the intensity of rainfall events, leading to more frequent and severe flooding. Infrastructure and homes near the river are particularly at risk.
Heatwaves are also becoming more common, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions. Planning for cooler spaces and staying hydrated are important adaptation measures.
While Smoko is not directly affected by coastal risks, the broader regional economy could be impacted by climate change effects on coastal areas, affecting tourism and agriculture.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Alpine Shire Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Smoko?
The primary risks are bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves, all of which are expected to become more frequent and severe due to climate change.
How can I prepare my home for a bushfire?
Clear vegetation around your home, maintain firebreaks, and develop a bushfire survival plan. Ensure you have adequate insurance coverage.
What should I do during a heatwave?
Stay indoors in a cool environment, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
Where can I find information about local flood risks?
The Alpine Shire Council provides flood maps and information on their website. You can also contact the council directly for assistance.
How is the local council addressing climate change?
The Alpine Shire Council has a climate strategy in place that outlines actions to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. Details can be found on their website.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Smoko, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections