Climate Risk Assessment for Rosebud, VIC
Rosebud faces a number of climate-related risks, including flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change. Residents should take steps to prepare for these risks.
Is Rosebud Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Rosebud, Victoria, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Rosebud
Flood
Rosebud faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and stormwater runoff. The proximity to Port Phillip Bay also contributes to potential coastal flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Rosebud has a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry summers and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Rosebud is experiencing an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Rosebud is vulnerable to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise and storm surges. Low-lying areas are particularly at risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Rosebud
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Rosebud is experiencing an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Rosebud faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and stormwater runoff. The proximity to Port Phillip Bay also contributes to potential coastal flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Rosebud is vulnerable to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise and storm surges. Low-lying areas are particularly at risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
bushfire Risk
Rosebud has a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry summers and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Strong winds
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to climate-related risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire overlays.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to sea level rise.
- 3.Consider the cost of insurance.
- 4.Evaluate energy efficiency and cooling options.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve stormwater drainage
Near-termUpgrade stormwater infrastructure to reduce the risk of flooding from heavy rainfall events.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreStrengthen coastal defenses
Long-termImplement coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and dune restoration, to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and storm surges.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave response plan
ImmediateCreate a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreReduce bushfire risk
Near-termImplement bushfire mitigation measures, such as fuel reduction burns and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Rosebud's Climate Risk Profile
Rosebud, located on the Mornington Peninsula, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's coastal location makes it susceptible to sea level rise and storm surges, which can lead to coastal erosion and inundation of low-lying areas.
Rising temperatures are also a concern, with more frequent and intense heatwaves posing a risk to public health, particularly for vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect can exacerbate these impacts in built-up areas.
Bushfire risk is another factor, as the surrounding bushland can become dry and flammable during the summer months. Changes in rainfall patterns and increased temperatures can further contribute to bushfire risk.
Flooding from heavy rainfall events and stormwater runoff is also a concern, particularly in areas with poor drainage. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall events, leading to a higher risk of flooding.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Mornington Peninsula Shire Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Rosebud?
Rosebud is primarily at risk from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion due to climate change.
How is the council preparing for climate change?
The Mornington Peninsula Shire Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies to address these risks.
What can I do to protect my property from flooding?
Consider installing flood barriers, improving drainage, and elevating electrical systems.
How can I prepare for a heatwave?
Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.
Where can I find more information about bushfire safety?
Visit the Country Fire Authority (CFA) website for information on bushfire preparedness and safety.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Rosebud, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections