Climate Risk Profile: Narrapumelap South, VIC

Narrapumelap South, Victoria· Northern Grampians Shire
Updated June 2026

Narrapumelap South faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with some bushfire risk. Climate change is expected to increase the severity of these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Narrapumelap South Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Narrapumelap South, Victoria, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Narrapumelap South

Flood

Narrapumelap South faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and relatively flat terrain. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

The area around Narrapumelap South has some bushfire risk due to surrounding grasslands and forested areas. Dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Narrapumelap South is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Narrapumelap South is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Narrapumelap South

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Narrapumelap South is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Narrapumelap South faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and relatively flat terrain. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

Narrapumelap South is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.

Data source

bushfire Risk

The area around Narrapumelap South has some bushfire risk due to surrounding grasslands and forested areas. Dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Windy conditions
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and heatwave risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be slightly affected by increasing climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood history of the property.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Ensure adequate bushfire protection measures are in place.
  • 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related risks.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Management Plan

Immediate

Implement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and community outreach programs.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness Education

Near-term

Provide education and resources to residents on how to prepare for and respond to bushfires.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation practices to mitigate the impacts of drought and water scarcity.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Narrapumelap South's Climate Risk Profile

Narrapumelap South, located in Victoria, is an inland area that faces a combination of climate-related challenges. The primary concerns are flooding, heatwaves, and to a lesser extent, bushfire risk.

Flooding is a significant concern due to the area's proximity to waterways and relatively flat terrain. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding, impacting properties and infrastructure. Climate change is projected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating this risk.

Heatwaves are also a growing concern, with projections indicating more frequent and intense heat events in the future. This poses a particular risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

While bushfire risk is present, it is less severe compared to flooding and heatwaves. The surrounding grasslands and forested areas can pose a threat during dry and windy conditions. Residents should maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads and be prepared for potential bushfire events.

Overall, Narrapumelap South needs to focus on adaptation measures to mitigate the impacts of climate change. This includes improving drainage infrastructure, implementing heatwave management plans, and promoting bushfire preparedness.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Narrapumelap South?

The main climate risks are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. Flooding is a concern due to the area's proximity to waterways, while heatwaves are projected to become more frequent and intense. Bushfire risk is present due to surrounding grasslands and forested areas.

How is the local council addressing climate change?

The Northern Grampians Shire Council is developing and implementing climate strategies to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. This includes improving drainage infrastructure, promoting water conservation, and supporting community resilience.

What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves?

Residents can prepare for heatwaves by staying hydrated, seeking air-conditioned environments, checking on vulnerable neighbors, and following advice from health authorities.

What should I do during a flood?

During a flood, it is important to stay informed about warnings and evacuation orders. Move to higher ground if necessary, avoid driving through floodwaters, and follow instructions from emergency services.

How can I protect my property from bushfires?

You can protect your property from bushfires by clearing vegetation around your home, maintaining gutters and roofs, having a bushfire survival plan, and following fire restrictions during summer months.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Narrapumelap South, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Narrapumelap South's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Narrapumelap South, VIC | ClimateNest