Climate Risk Assessment for Kerang, VIC

Kerang, Victoria· Gannawarra· 3579
Updated Apr 2026

Kerang is a rural town in northern Victoria facing increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. While bushfire risk is moderate, the town is not exposed to coastal hazards. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Kerang Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Kerang, Victoria, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

What the mapping shows for Kerang

  • Kerang has a recorded history of flooding.

    60.6% of Kerang is mapped as subject to a recorded flood extent

Victorian Flood History, State of Victoria (DEECA), CC BY 4.0, retrieved 2026-10-21

This is a share of the suburb's land area from a published state dataset, not an assessment of any property. A ClimateNest report scores the individual address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Check an address in Kerang →

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Kerang

Flood

Kerang faces a notable risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Loddon River and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding

Bushfire

Kerang has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding grasslands and agricultural areas. Hot, dry conditions during summer increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Kerang experiences high temperatures during summer, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Kerang is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from the coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Kerang

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Kerang experiences high temperatures during summer, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Kerang faces a notable risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Loddon River and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding
  • ·Inadequate drainage
Data source

coastal Risk

Kerang is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

Kerang has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding grasslands and agricultural areas. Hot, dry conditions during summer increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Windy conditions
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and heatwave risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess the property's bushfire risk.
  • 3.Ensure adequate insulation and cooling systems.
  • 4.Consider the long-term impacts of climate change on property value.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as levees, improved drainage systems, and flood-proofing of buildings.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop a Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement community education programs on bushfire safety and preparedness, and support residents in reducing fuel loads around their properties.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to ensure water security in the face of changing rainfall patterns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Kerang's Climate Risk Profile

Kerang, located in the Gannawarra Shire of northern Victoria, is a town with a rich agricultural history. The region's climate is characterized by hot, dry summers and mild winters. However, climate change is altering these patterns, leading to increased risks from various hazards.

Flooding is a significant concern for Kerang due to its proximity to the Loddon River and surrounding low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity is expected to exacerbate flood events, potentially impacting homes, businesses, and infrastructure. The town also experiences moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of grasslands and agricultural land.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a threat to public health, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect can further amplify these risks in built-up areas.

While Kerang is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to agriculture and water resources, could have significant consequences for the town's economy and way of life. Adapting to these changes will require a concerted effort from residents, businesses, and local government.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Kerang?

The main climate change risks for Kerang are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a moderate risk of bushfires.

How is the local council addressing climate change?

The Gannawarra Shire Council is developing and implementing strategies to mitigate and adapt to the impacts of climate change, including improving flood defenses and promoting water conservation.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Kerang?

You can prepare for heatwaves by staying hydrated, seeking air-conditioned environments, and checking on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Kerang?

You can find information about flood risks in Kerang on the Gannawarra Shire Council website and through the Victorian State Emergency Service.

How can I reduce my property's bushfire risk?

You can reduce your property's bushfire risk by clearing vegetation around your home, maintaining your gutters, and having a bushfire survival plan.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Kerang, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Assessment for Kerang, VIC | ClimateNest