Almurta Climate Risk Assessment
Almurta faces a medium overall climate risk, primarily driven by a high susceptibility to heatwaves due to urbanisation and a moderate flood risk from intense rainfall. Bushfire and coastal risks are very low. Future projections indicate an increase in heat risk and a slight rise in flood risk.
Is Almurta Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Almurta, Victoria, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Almurta
Flood
Low to moderate flood risk, primarily from localised heavy rainfall events and potential minor creek overflow.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased intensity of rainfall events
- ·Urbanisation and increased impervious surfaces
Bushfire
Very low bushfire risk due to significant urbanisation and distance from major bushland areas.
Key drivers:
- ·Limited proximity to large fuel loads
Heat
High heat risk, particularly during summer, due to urban heat island effect and limited tree canopy.
Key drivers:
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Increased frequency and intensity of heatwaves
Coastal
Negligible coastal risk due to significant distance from the coast.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Almurta
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
High heat risk, particularly during summer, due to urban heat island effect and limited tree canopy.
Primary Drivers
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Increased frequency and intensity of heatwaves
- ·Reduced tree canopy cover
flood Risk
Low to moderate flood risk, primarily from localised heavy rainfall events and potential minor creek overflow.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased intensity of rainfall events
- ·Urbanisation and increased impervious surfaces
bushfire Risk
Very low bushfire risk due to significant urbanisation and distance from major bushland areas.
Primary Drivers
- ·Limited proximity to large fuel loads
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Standard premiums, but potential for increased costs in flood-prone pockets or during extreme heat events.
Price Impact
Currently minimal, but increasing heat stress could impact desirability and value in the long term.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check property drainage and stormwater connections.
- 2.Assess proximity to any potential localised flood zones.
- 3.Evaluate shading and cooling options for the property.
- 4.Review insurance policy details for flood and storm cover.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Increase Urban Tree Canopy
Near-termImplement a program to plant more street trees and encourage green roofs/walls to mitigate the urban heat island effect and improve air quality.
Est. cost: $500k - $1M
Learn moreUpgrade Stormwater Drainage
Near-termInvest in upgrading and maintaining existing stormwater infrastructure to better handle intense rainfall events and reduce localised flooding.
Est. cost: $1M - $5M
Learn morePromote Cool Roofs and Pavements
Near-termEncourage or mandate the use of cool roofing materials and reflective pavements in new developments and redevelopments to reduce heat absorption.
Est. cost: $100k - $500k (incentives)
Learn moreDevelop Heatwave Response Plan
ImmediateEstablish a clear community-based plan for responding to heatwaves, including public cooling centres, vulnerable resident support, and public health messaging.
Est. cost: $50k - $100k
Learn moreEnhance Green Infrastructure
Long-termIntegrate more permeable surfaces, rain gardens, and swales into public spaces and private developments to improve stormwater management and reduce runoff.
Est. cost: $2M - $10M
Learn moreAbout Almurta's Climate Risk Profile
Almurta, located within the City of Monash in Victoria, presents a mixed climate risk profile for its residents. The suburb's overall risk is rated as Medium, largely influenced by significant heat vulnerability. The urbanised nature of Almurta, characterised by extensive development and a substantial amount of impervious surfaces, contributes to a pronounced urban heat island effect. This, combined with the projected increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves across Victoria, places Almurta at a high risk during summer months.
The flood risk in Almurta is assessed as low to moderate. While not situated near major rivers, the suburb can experience localised flooding during periods of intense rainfall. This is exacerbated by the high proportion of sealed surfaces, which reduce natural water absorption and can overwhelm drainage systems. Creek systems within or near the suburb may experience minor overflows, impacting low-lying areas after significant storm events.
In contrast, Almurta exhibits a very low risk from bushfires. Its established suburban character, with significant separation from large tracts of native bushland and the presence of well-maintained urban infrastructure, greatly mitigates this threat. The risk is considered stable, with minimal projected changes due to its inherent geographical and developmental characteristics.
Coastal risks are negligible for Almurta, given its inland location far removed from the Victorian coastline. There are no direct threats from sea-level rise or coastal erosion impacting the suburb. This hazard category remains consistently low and stable.
Future climate projections suggest an intensification of existing risks. The heat risk is expected to increase notably by 2050, with more frequent and severe heatwave events. Flood risk is also projected to rise slightly due to more extreme rainfall patterns. Residents should be aware of these evolving risks and consider appropriate adaptation measures, particularly concerning heat resilience.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
City of Monash
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the main climate risk for Almurta residents?
The primary climate risk for Almurta is heat, due to the urban heat island effect and increasing frequency of heatwaves. Localised flooding during intense rainfall is a secondary concern.
Is Almurta at risk of bushfires?
No, Almurta has a very low bushfire risk. It is a well-established urban area with significant distance from major bushland reserves.
How will climate change affect flooding in Almurta?
Climate change is projected to increase the intensity of rainfall events, potentially leading to more frequent and severe localised flooding, particularly in low-lying areas and those with high levels of impervious surfaces.
What can I do to protect my home from heat in Almurta?
Consider planting shade trees, installing awnings, using light-coloured roofing materials, improving insulation, and ensuring adequate ventilation. The council may offer resources or incentives for cool retrofits.
Does Almurta experience coastal erosion or sea-level rise impacts?
No, Almurta is located far inland and is not exposed to any risks associated with sea-level rise or coastal erosion.
Where can I find official flood information for Almurta?
Official flood information, including flood maps for the City of Monash, can be found on the City of Monash Council website under their emergency management or flood information sections.
Get your property's risk report
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*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections