Climate Risk in Alexandra, VIC

Alexandra, Victoria· Murrindindi· 3714
Updated Mar 2026

Alexandra, VIC, faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, potentially impacting property values and community well-being. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Alexandra Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Alexandra, Victoria, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Alexandra

Flood

Alexandra faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Goulburn River and other waterways. Heavy rainfall events can lead to riverine flooding, impacting low-lying areas and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine overflow

Bushfire

Alexandra is located in a bushfire-prone region, with significant bushland surrounding the town. Hot, dry summers and strong winds can create conditions conducive to bushfires, posing a threat to properties and lives.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Alexandra experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves. This can impact vulnerable populations, infrastructure, and agriculture.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Alexandra is not located near the coast and faces minimal direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·N/A

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Alexandra

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Alexandra experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves. This can impact vulnerable populations, infrastructure, and agriculture.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Alexandra faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Goulburn River and other waterways. Heavy rainfall events can lead to riverine flooding, impacting low-lying areas and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine overflow
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Alexandra is not located near the coast and faces minimal direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·N/A
Data source

bushfire Risk

Alexandra is located in a bushfire-prone region, with significant bushland surrounding the town. Hot, dry summers and strong winds can create conditions conducive to bushfires, posing a threat to properties and lives.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the elevated risk of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions or slower appreciation.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire overlays.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
  • 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand coverage.
  • 4.Consider long-term climate change impacts on property value.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure improvements to protect properties from flooding, such as levees, drainage systems, and flood-proofing measures.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement community education programs and support residents in preparing their properties for bushfires, including clearing vegetation and creating firebreaks.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Action Plan

Near-term

Develop and implement a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events, including establishing cooling centers and providing outreach services.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Sustainable Land Use Planning

Long-term

Incorporate climate change considerations into land use planning decisions to minimize exposure to hazards and promote sustainable development.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Alexandra's Climate Risk Profile

Alexandra is a town in Victoria, Australia, located in the Murrindindi Shire. The town is situated in a valley surrounded by hills and bushland, making it vulnerable to various climate-related hazards.

Flooding is a significant concern for Alexandra due to its proximity to the Goulburn River and other waterways. Heavy rainfall can cause the river to overflow, inundating low-lying areas and disrupting transportation. Climate change is projected to increase the intensity and frequency of heavy rainfall events, further elevating flood risk.

Bushfires also pose a serious threat to Alexandra, particularly during the hot, dry summer months. The surrounding bushland provides ample fuel for fires, and strong winds can quickly spread flames towards the town. Rising temperatures and prolonged droughts associated with climate change are expected to worsen bushfire conditions.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Alexandra, impacting human health and infrastructure. Vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses, are particularly at risk during extreme heat events. Climate change is driving up average temperatures and increasing the likelihood of prolonged heatwaves.

While Alexandra is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the town may experience indirect impacts from climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased migration from coastal areas. Adapting to these challenges will require proactive planning and community resilience.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks facing Alexandra?

Alexandra faces increasing risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves due to climate change. These hazards can impact property, infrastructure, and community well-being.

How can I prepare my property for flooding in Alexandra?

Check flood maps, elevate vulnerable equipment, clear drainage systems, and consider flood-proofing measures. Stay informed about flood warnings and evacuation plans.

What should I do to protect my home from bushfires?

Clear vegetation around your home, create firebreaks, maintain gutters, and have a bushfire survival plan. Stay informed about fire danger ratings and warnings.

Where can I find information about heatwave safety in Alexandra?

Visit the Better Health Victoria website for tips on staying safe during heatwaves. Identify cooling centers and check on vulnerable neighbors.

What is the Murrindindi Shire Council doing to address climate change?

The council is developing and implementing climate change strategies to reduce emissions, adapt to climate impacts, and promote sustainable development. Check the council website for details.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Alexandra, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections