Climate Risk in Wynyard, Tasmania
Wynyard faces a moderate climate risk, primarily driven by coastal hazards and flooding. Sea-level rise and increased rainfall intensity pose significant threats to the suburb's coastal areas and infrastructure. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and consider adaptation measures.
Is Wynyard Safe from Climate Risk?
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
What the mapping shows for Wynyard
Part of Wynyard is mapped as subject to coastal inundation.
0.7% of Wynyard is mapped as subject to coastal inundation (coastal inundation hazard band, including 1% AEP storm tide at 2100)
5.3% of Wynyard is mapped as subject to coastal erosion (coastal erosion hazard band mapped for the Tasmanian planning system)
Tasmanian Coastal Inundation Hazard Bands (20161201), State of Tasmania (Department of Premier and Cabinet), Creative Commons Attribution 4.0, retrieved 2026-10-23
This is a share of the suburb's land area from a published state dataset, not an assessment of any property. A ClimateNest report scores the individual address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Check an address in Wynyard →Climate Hazard Breakdown for Wynyard
Flood
Wynyard faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Inglis River and coastal location. Increased rainfall intensity and sea-level rise are expected to exacerbate this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea-level rise
Bushfire
The risk of bushfire in Wynyard is relatively low due to the surrounding agricultural land and coastal environment, which limit fuel accumulation. However, drier conditions could increase the risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Increased temperatures
Heat
Wynyard experiences moderate heat risk. While not as extreme as inland areas, increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves will pose challenges, especially for vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased average temperatures
- ·More frequent heatwaves
Coastal
Wynyard is highly susceptible to coastal hazards due to its low-lying coastal location. Sea-level rise and increased storm surge will lead to erosion and inundation of coastal areas.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea-level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Wynyard
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Wynyard experiences moderate heat risk. While not as extreme as inland areas, increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves will pose challenges, especially for vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased average temperatures
- ·More frequent heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect (minor)
flood Risk
Wynyard faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Inglis River and coastal location. Increased rainfall intensity and sea-level rise are expected to exacerbate this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea-level rise
- ·River overflow
coastal Risk
Wynyard is highly susceptible to coastal hazards due to its low-lying coastal location. Sea-level rise and increased storm surge will lead to erosion and inundation of coastal areas.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea-level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
The risk of bushfire in Wynyard is relatively low due to the surrounding agricultural land and coastal environment, which limit fuel accumulation. However, drier conditions could increase the risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Wind patterns
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to the increased risk of flooding and coastal hazards.
Price Impact
Properties in low-lying coastal areas may experience a decrease in value due to the risk of sea-level rise and erosion.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and coastal erosion risk assessments.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to sea-level rise and storm surge.
- 3.Inquire about insurance coverage and potential premium increases.
- 4.Consider the long-term impacts of climate change on property value.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Coastal Protection Measures
ImmediateInvest in coastal protection measures, such as sea walls and beach nourishment, to mitigate the impacts of sea-level rise and erosion.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreFlood Mitigation Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems and build flood levees to reduce the risk of flooding from the Inglis River.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreCommunity Awareness Programs
Near-termImplement community awareness programs to educate residents about climate change risks and adaptation strategies.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreSustainable Land Use Planning
Long-termIncorporate climate change considerations into land use planning decisions to avoid development in high-risk areas.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Wynyard's Climate Risk Profile
Wynyard, located on the north-west coast of Tasmania, is particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change due to its coastal location and proximity to the Inglis River. Sea-level rise poses a significant threat, potentially leading to increased coastal erosion and inundation of low-lying areas. The town's infrastructure and residential areas along the coast are at risk.
Increased rainfall intensity is expected to exacerbate the risk of flooding from the Inglis River. More frequent and intense storm events could overwhelm existing drainage systems, leading to property damage and disruption to daily life. The local council is working to improve flood defenses and implement better stormwater management practices.
While bushfire risk is relatively lower compared to other parts of Tasmania, drier conditions and increased temperatures could elevate the risk, particularly in areas bordering bushland. Residents should maintain their properties and be aware of fire safety guidelines.
Heatwaves are projected to become more frequent and intense, posing health risks to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing medical conditions. Public health initiatives and community awareness programs are essential to mitigate the impacts of heatwaves.
Overall, Wynyard needs to proactively address the challenges posed by climate change through a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies. This includes investing in coastal protection measures, improving flood defenses, promoting water conservation, and enhancing community resilience.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Waratah-Wynyard Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks facing Wynyard?
The main climate change risks facing Wynyard are sea-level rise, coastal erosion, increased flooding from the Inglis River, and more frequent heatwaves.
How will sea-level rise affect Wynyard?
Sea-level rise will lead to increased coastal erosion and inundation of low-lying areas, potentially damaging infrastructure and properties.
What is the council doing to address climate change?
The Waratah-Wynyard Council is developing climate adaptation strategies, upgrading drainage systems, and implementing coastal protection measures.
How can residents prepare for more frequent heatwaves?
Residents can prepare for heatwaves by staying hydrated, seeking air-conditioned environments, and checking on vulnerable neighbors.
Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Wynyard?
You can find more information about climate change risks in Wynyard on the Waratah-Wynyard Council website, the Tasmanian Department of Primary Industries, Parks, Water and Environment website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Wynyard, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections