Climate Risk in Ulverstone, Tasmania
Ulverstone faces a medium overall climate risk, primarily driven by coastal hazards and flooding. The area is also susceptible to increasing heatwaves and bushfire risk. Residents should prepare for the impacts of climate change and take steps to mitigate their vulnerability.
Is Ulverstone Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Ulverstone, Tasmania, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections
Not ready to check your address? See a free sample report →
Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
What the mapping shows for Ulverstone
Part of Ulverstone is mapped as subject to coastal inundation.
2.4% of Ulverstone is mapped as subject to coastal inundation (coastal inundation hazard band, including 1% AEP storm tide at 2100)
6.7% of Ulverstone is mapped as subject to coastal erosion (coastal erosion hazard band mapped for the Tasmanian planning system)
Tasmanian Coastal Inundation Hazard Bands (20161201), State of Tasmania (Department of Premier and Cabinet), Creative Commons Attribution 4.0, retrieved 2026-10-23
This is a share of the suburb's land area from a published state dataset, not an assessment of any property. A ClimateNest report scores the individual address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Check an address in Ulverstone →Climate Hazard Breakdown for Ulverstone
Flood
Ulverstone faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Leven River and coastal areas. Increased rainfall intensity and sea-level rise are expected to exacerbate this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea-level rise
Bushfire
The bushfire risk in Ulverstone is relatively low compared to other regions in Tasmania, but it's still present due to surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and increased temperatures could elevate this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Ulverstone experiences moderate heat risk. While not as extreme as mainland Australia, increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves are expected to impact the community.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased average temperatures
- ·More frequent heatwaves
Coastal
Ulverstone is highly vulnerable to coastal hazards due to its location on the coast. Sea-level rise and increased storm surges pose a significant threat to infrastructure and coastal ecosystems.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea-level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Ulverstone
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Ulverstone experiences moderate heat risk. While not as extreme as mainland Australia, increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves are expected to impact the community.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased average temperatures
- ·More frequent heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect (minor)
flood Risk
Ulverstone faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Leven River and coastal areas. Increased rainfall intensity and sea-level rise are expected to exacerbate this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea-level rise
- ·Riverine flooding
coastal Risk
Ulverstone is highly vulnerable to coastal hazards due to its location on the coast. Sea-level rise and increased storm surges pose a significant threat to infrastructure and coastal ecosystems.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea-level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
The bushfire risk in Ulverstone is relatively low compared to other regions in Tasmania, but it's still present due to surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and increased temperatures could elevate this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Vegetation dryness
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase in areas prone to flooding and coastal erosion.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and coastal erosion risk assessments.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to bushfires.
- 3.Consider the potential impact of sea-level rise.
- 4.Inquire about council plans for climate change adaptation.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Coastal Protection Measures
ImmediateImplement coastal protection measures such as seawalls and beach nourishment to protect vulnerable areas from sea-level rise and storm surges.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreFlood Mitigation Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage infrastructure and construct flood levees to reduce the risk of riverine flooding.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
Near-termPromote bushfire preparedness among residents and implement fuel reduction programs in surrounding bushland.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreHeatwave Action Plan
Long-termDevelop a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Ulverstone's Climate Risk Profile
Ulverstone, located on the north coast of Tasmania, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks stem from its coastal location and proximity to the Leven River, making it susceptible to flooding and coastal erosion.
Rising sea levels and more intense storm surges pose a significant threat to coastal infrastructure and ecosystems. Increased rainfall intensity is expected to exacerbate riverine flooding, impacting residential and commercial areas.
While bushfire risk is relatively lower compared to other parts of Tasmania, drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood of bushfires in the surrounding areas. Heatwaves are also expected to become more frequent and intense, impacting public health and infrastructure.
Adapting to these changes will require a coordinated effort from local government, residents, and businesses. Implementing coastal protection measures, improving drainage infrastructure, and promoting bushfire preparedness are crucial steps to mitigate the risks. Residents should also consider the long-term implications of climate change when making property decisions.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Central Coast Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Ulverstone?
The main climate change risks in Ulverstone are coastal flooding, riverine flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Sea-level rise and increased rainfall intensity are expected to exacerbate these risks.
How is the council preparing for climate change?
The Central Coast Council is developing and implementing climate change adaptation strategies, including coastal protection measures, flood mitigation infrastructure, and bushfire preparedness programs.
What can residents do to prepare for climate change?
Residents can prepare for climate change by checking flood maps, assessing their property's vulnerability to bushfires, considering the potential impact of sea-level rise, and inquiring about council plans for climate change adaptation.
Will insurance premiums increase due to climate change?
Insurance premiums may increase in areas prone to flooding and coastal erosion. It's important to check with your insurance provider about your coverage.
Where can I find more information about climate change in Ulverstone?
You can find more information about climate change in Ulverstone on the Central Coast Council website, the Tasmanian Department of Primary Industries, Parks, Water and Environment website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Ulverstone, use our analysis tool.
Other Suburbs in Tasmania
Check Your flood Risk Now
Check Ulverstone's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.
What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections