Climate Risk Assessment for Stanley, TAS

Stanley, Tasmania· Circular Head· 7331
Updated Mar 2026

Stanley, TAS, faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding and coastal hazards. These risks are projected to increase with climate change, potentially impacting property values and community well-being. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Stanley Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Stanley, Tasmania, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Stanley

Flood

Stanley faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall and coastal inundation. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Stanley has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Changes in temperature and rainfall patterns could exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Stanley experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This could impact vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves

Coastal

Stanley is exposed to coastal risks, including sea level rise and coastal erosion. These risks are projected to worsen with climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm surge

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Stanley

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Stanley experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This could impact vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect (minimal)
Data source

flood Risk

Stanley faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall and coastal inundation. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
Data source

coastal Risk

Stanley is exposed to coastal risks, including sea level rise and coastal erosion. These risks are projected to worsen with climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm surge
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

Stanley has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Changes in temperature and rainfall patterns could exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Property values in vulnerable areas may be negatively impacted.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to coastal erosion.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Consider energy efficiency and water conservation measures.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Bushfire Management Strategies

Immediate

Clear vegetation around properties and develop bushfire evacuation plans.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Protect Coastal Areas from Erosion

Long-term

Construct seawalls and implement other coastal protection measures.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Response Plan

Near-term

Establish cooling centers and provide support for vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Stanley's Climate Risk Profile

Stanley, located on the north-west coast of Tasmania, is a historic town with unique environmental vulnerabilities. Its coastal location makes it susceptible to sea level rise and storm surges, while its proximity to bushland increases the risk of bushfires. Changes in rainfall patterns and temperature are expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades.

The primary climate risks for Stanley include flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. Flooding can occur from heavy rainfall events and coastal inundation. Bushfires pose a threat due to the surrounding vegetation. Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, impacting vulnerable populations. Coastal erosion is an ongoing concern due to sea level rise and storm surges.

Climate change projections indicate that Stanley will experience higher average temperatures, more frequent heatwaves, and increased rainfall intensity. Sea levels are also expected to rise, leading to greater coastal erosion and inundation. These changes will likely increase the frequency and severity of extreme weather events, impacting infrastructure, property values, and community health.

Adaptation measures are crucial to mitigate the impacts of climate change in Stanley. These include improving drainage infrastructure to reduce flood risk, implementing bushfire management strategies, and protecting coastal areas from erosion. Community awareness and preparedness are also essential to ensure residents are informed and ready to respond to extreme weather events. Long-term planning should consider climate change impacts on infrastructure, land use, and community services.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Stanley?

The main climate change risks in Stanley include flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These risks are projected to increase with climate change, potentially impacting property values and community well-being.

How will sea level rise affect Stanley?

Sea level rise is expected to increase coastal erosion and inundation in Stanley, potentially damaging infrastructure and properties near the coast. Coastal protection measures may be necessary to mitigate these impacts.

What can I do to prepare for bushfires in Stanley?

To prepare for bushfires, clear vegetation around your property, develop a bushfire evacuation plan, and stay informed about fire danger ratings. Ensure you have adequate insurance coverage for bushfire damage.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Stanley?

Information about flood risks in Stanley can be found on the Circular Head Council website and the Tasmania State Emergency Service website. These resources provide flood maps and guidance on flood preparedness.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave in Stanley?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on elderly neighbors and those with chronic illnesses who may be more vulnerable to heat stress.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Stanley, use our analysis tool.

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections