Climate Risk Profile: Scottsdale, TAS
Scottsdale faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. The town's inland location mitigates coastal risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Scottsdale Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Scottsdale, Tasmania, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Scottsdale
Flood
Scottsdale faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Great Forester River and other waterways. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Riverine flooding
Bushfire
Scottsdale has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Scottsdale is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This could pose a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Heatwave frequency
Coastal
Scottsdale is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Scottsdale
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Scottsdale is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This could pose a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Heatwave frequency
- ·Urban heat island effect (minimal)
flood Risk
Scottsdale faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Great Forester River and other waterways. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Riverine flooding
- ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
coastal Risk
Scottsdale is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
Scottsdale has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and mitigation measures.
- 3.Consider energy efficiency for heatwave resilience.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Management Plan
Near-termDevelop and implement a comprehensive bushfire management plan for the community.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreHeatwave Preparedness Program
ImmediateEstablish a heatwave preparedness program to protect vulnerable residents during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity Education
Long-termEducate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Scottsdale's Climate Risk Profile
Scottsdale, located in northeastern Tasmania, is susceptible to several climate-related hazards. The primary concern is flooding, due to its proximity to the Great Forester River and other waterways. Increased rainfall intensity, driven by climate change, could lead to more frequent and severe flood events.
Bushfire risk is also a factor, with surrounding bushland posing a threat, especially during drier and hotter periods. The town's location means it is not immune to the increasing bushfire danger across Tasmania.
Heatwaves are expected to become more common and intense, potentially impacting vulnerable populations. While Scottsdale does not experience a significant urban heat island effect, the overall increase in temperatures will still pose a challenge.
Coastal risks are minimal due to Scottsdale's inland location. However, the broader region may experience indirect impacts from coastal erosion and sea-level rise.
Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies, including improved drainage infrastructure, bushfire management, and heatwave preparedness plans.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Scottsdale?
The main risks are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a higher risk of bushfires.
How will climate change affect property values in Scottsdale?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline. Overall, increased climate risks could impact property values.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Scottsdale?
Currently, the council's specific climate change strategies are unknown. Contacting the council directly is recommended.
How can I prepare my home for increased flood risk?
Consider installing flood barriers, elevating appliances, and ensuring proper drainage around your property.
What should I do during a heatwave in Scottsdale?
Stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Scottsdale, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections