Climate Risk Assessment for Rosebery, TAS
Rosebery faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and bushfires. Rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns are expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Rosebery Safe from Climate Risk?
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Rosebery
Flood
Rosebery faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and potential for heavy rainfall events. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall, potentially exacerbating flood risks.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Proximity to waterways
Bushfire
Rosebery has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and increased temperatures associated with climate change could lengthen the bushfire season and increase fire intensity.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Rosebery experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures projected. More frequent and intense heatwaves could impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Rosebery is located inland and does not face a direct coastal risk. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.
Key drivers:
- ·Inland location
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Rosebery
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Rosebery experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures projected. More frequent and intense heatwaves could impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect (minimal)
flood Risk
Rosebery faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and potential for heavy rainfall events. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall, potentially exacerbating flood risks.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Proximity to waterways
- ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
coastal Risk
Rosebery is located inland and does not face a direct coastal risk. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.
Primary Drivers
- ·Inland location
bushfire Risk
Rosebery has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and increased temperatures associated with climate change could lengthen the bushfire season and increase fire intensity.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to increased flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to extreme weather events.
- 3.Obtain adequate insurance coverage.
- 4.Consider energy efficiency and water conservation measures.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in improved drainage infrastructure and flood barriers to protect properties from flooding.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Mitigation
Near-termImplement bushfire mitigation measures such as vegetation management and fire breaks to reduce the risk of bushfires.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreHeatwave Preparedness
Near-termDevelop a heatwave preparedness plan to protect vulnerable residents during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity Awareness Programs
Long-termConduct community awareness programs to educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Rosebery's Climate Risk Profile
Rosebery, Tasmania, is a town that will likely experience increased climate-related challenges in the coming decades. The primary concerns are related to flooding and bushfire risks, both of which are projected to worsen due to climate change.
Flooding is a significant concern due to the town's proximity to waterways and the potential for increased rainfall intensity. Climate models suggest that Tasmania will experience more extreme rainfall events, leading to a higher risk of flash flooding and riverine flooding. This could impact residential areas, infrastructure, and local businesses.
Bushfire risk is also a concern, as the surrounding vegetation creates a potential fuel load. Drier conditions and higher temperatures associated with climate change could lengthen the bushfire season and increase the intensity of fires. This poses a threat to properties and human safety.
Heatwaves are expected to become more frequent and intense, potentially impacting vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Infrastructure may also be affected, with increased demand for electricity during peak periods.
While Rosebery is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and economic activity, could indirectly affect the town.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
West Coast Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Rosebery?
The main climate risks facing Rosebery are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase due to climate change.
How will climate change affect property values in Rosebery?
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased flood and bushfire risks.
What can I do to protect my home from flooding?
You can improve drainage around your property, install flood barriers, and obtain adequate insurance coverage.
How can I prepare for a bushfire?
You can clear vegetation around your home, create fire breaks, and have a bushfire survival plan.
What should I do during a heatwave?
Stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Rosebery, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections