Climate Risk in Nubeena, Tasmania
Nubeena faces a moderate overall climate risk, with coastal hazards posing the most significant threat. Rising sea levels and increased storm intensity are expected to exacerbate coastal erosion and inundation. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense heatwaves and bushfire seasons.
Is Nubeena Safe from Climate Risk?
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
What the mapping shows for Nubeena
Part of Nubeena is mapped as subject to coastal inundation.
1% of Nubeena is mapped as subject to coastal inundation (coastal inundation hazard band, including 1% AEP storm tide at 2100)
2.9% of Nubeena is mapped as subject to coastal erosion (coastal erosion hazard band mapped for the Tasmanian planning system)
Tasmanian Coastal Inundation Hazard Bands (20161201), State of Tasmania (Department of Premier and Cabinet), Creative Commons Attribution 4.0, retrieved 2026-10-23
This is a share of the suburb's land area from a published state dataset, not an assessment of any property. A ClimateNest report scores the individual address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Check an address in Nubeena →Climate Hazard Breakdown for Nubeena
Flood
Nubeena faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and coastal inundation. The risk is expected to increase with climate change due to more intense rainfall and rising sea levels.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
The bushfire risk in Nubeena is moderate due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Nubeena is experiencing an increase in the number of hot days and heatwaves. This trend is projected to continue, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Nubeena is highly vulnerable to coastal hazards due to its low-lying coastal location. Sea level rise and increased storm intensity are expected to exacerbate coastal erosion and inundation.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Nubeena
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Nubeena is experiencing an increase in the number of hot days and heatwaves. This trend is projected to continue, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Nubeena faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and coastal inundation. The risk is expected to increase with climate change due to more intense rainfall and rising sea levels.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Coastal erosion
coastal Risk
Nubeena is highly vulnerable to coastal hazards due to its low-lying coastal location. Sea level rise and increased storm intensity are expected to exacerbate coastal erosion and inundation.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
The bushfire risk in Nubeena is moderate due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Vegetation dryness
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the increasing risk of coastal inundation and bushfires.
Price Impact
Properties close to the coast may experience a decrease in value due to the risk of coastal erosion and inundation.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and coastal erosion risk assessments.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and ensure property is adequately protected.
- 3.Consider the potential impact of sea level rise on property value.
- 4.Review insurance options and premiums.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Coastal Protection Measures
ImmediateImplement coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and beach nourishment, to protect against coastal erosion and inundation.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreBushfire Risk Mitigation
Near-termImplement bushfire risk mitigation measures, such as vegetation management and fire breaks, to reduce the risk of bushfires.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreHeatwave Preparedness
Near-termDevelop and implement a heatwave preparedness plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreFlood Management
Long-termImprove drainage infrastructure and implement flood management strategies to reduce the risk of flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreAbout Nubeena's Climate Risk Profile
Nubeena, located on the Tasman Peninsula in Tasmania, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include coastal inundation, flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. The region's low-lying coastal areas are particularly susceptible to sea level rise and storm surges, which are expected to worsen with climate change.
Flooding is another concern, with heavy rainfall events becoming more frequent and intense. This can lead to flash flooding and damage to property and infrastructure. The surrounding bushland also poses a bushfire risk, especially during dry and hot conditions. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires in the region.
Heatwaves are also becoming more common, posing a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. The combination of these factors makes Nubeena a region that requires careful planning and adaptation to mitigate the impacts of climate change.
Addressing these challenges requires a multi-faceted approach, including reducing greenhouse gas emissions, implementing adaptation measures, and raising community awareness. By taking proactive steps, Nubeena can build resilience and protect its community and environment from the impacts of climate change.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Tasman Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Nubeena?
The main climate change risks in Nubeena include coastal inundation, flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. The region's low-lying coastal areas are particularly vulnerable to sea level rise and storm surges.
How is climate change expected to impact property values in Nubeena?
Properties close to the coast may experience a decrease in value due to the risk of coastal erosion and inundation. Insurance premiums are also likely to increase due to the increasing risk of climate-related hazards.
What can residents do to prepare for climate change in Nubeena?
Residents can take steps to prepare for climate change by implementing coastal protection measures, mitigating bushfire risk, developing a heatwave preparedness plan, and improving drainage infrastructure.
Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Nubeena?
You can find more information about climate change risks in Nubeena from the Tasman Council, the Tasmanian State Emergency Service, and the Bureau of Meteorology.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Nubeena?
The Tasman Council is working to address climate change by developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies, improving infrastructure resilience, and raising community awareness.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections