Climate Risk in Mowbray, Tasmania
Mowbray faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is projected to exacerbate these risks, potentially impacting property values and community well-being. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Mowbray Safe from Climate Risk?
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Mowbray
Flood
Mowbray faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Tamar River and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Mowbray has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Mowbray is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Mowbray faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its location near the Tamar River. Sea level rise and increased storm surge could lead to inundation and erosion.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Mowbray
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Mowbray is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Mowbray faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Tamar River and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Mowbray faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its location near the Tamar River. Sea level rise and increased storm surge could lead to inundation and erosion.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
bushfire Risk
Mowbray has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Vegetation density
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area overlays.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to climate hazards.
- 3.Consider the potential impact of climate change on insurance premiums.
- 4.Inquire about council plans for climate adaptation.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in flood defenses such as levees and drainage improvements to protect properties from flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
ImmediateImplement bushfire preparedness measures such as clearing vegetation around homes and developing evacuation plans.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreHeatwave Action Plan
Near-termDevelop a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreCoastal Management Strategy
Long-termDevelop a coastal management strategy to address the risks of sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreAbout Mowbray's Climate Risk Profile
Mowbray, located in Tasmania, is susceptible to a range of climate-related risks. Its proximity to the Tamar River increases its vulnerability to flooding, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change is expected to intensify rainfall events, leading to more frequent and severe flooding in the region.
The surrounding vegetation also poses a bushfire risk to Mowbray. Hotter, drier conditions, driven by climate change, are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires, potentially threatening homes and infrastructure.
Heatwaves are also becoming more common and intense in Mowbray. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Residents should take precautions to stay cool during heatwaves and be aware of the signs of heatstroke.
Finally, Mowbray's location near the coast makes it vulnerable to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surge. These hazards could lead to inundation and erosion, potentially damaging property and infrastructure. Planning for these changes is essential to protect the community.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Mowbray?
Mowbray faces risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks.
How will climate change impact property values in Mowbray?
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions due to increased climate risks.
What can I do to prepare for climate change in Mowbray?
You can take steps to protect your property from flooding and bushfires, and develop a plan for coping with heatwaves.
Where can I find more information about climate change in Tasmania?
You can find information on the websites of the Tasmanian government, CSIRO, and the Bureau of Meteorology.
Is Mowbray a good place to invest in property considering climate change?
It depends on the location of the property and your risk tolerance. Properties in low-risk areas may still be a good investment, but it's important to consider the potential impacts of climate change.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Mowbray, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections