Climate Risk Assessment for Longford, TAS

Longford, Tasmania
Updated Mar 2026

Longford faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and increasing heat. Bushfire risk is also a consideration. Coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location.

Is Longford Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Longford, Tasmania, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Not ready to check your address? See a free sample report →

Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Longford

Flood

Longford faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Macquarie River. Riverine flooding can inundate low-lying areas.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine overflow

Bushfire

The risk of bushfires in Longford is moderate, with surrounding grasslands and bushland posing a potential threat during dry periods.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased temperatures

Heat

Longford experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures potentially leading to more frequent heatwaves.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves

Coastal

Coastal risks are minimal in Longford due to its inland location.

Key drivers:

  • ·Not applicable

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Longford

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Longford experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures potentially leading to more frequent heatwaves.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
Data source

flood Risk

Longford faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Macquarie River. Riverine flooding can inundate low-lying areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine overflow
Data source

coastal Risk

Coastal risks are minimal in Longford due to its inland location.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Not applicable
Data source

bushfire Risk

The risk of bushfires in Longford is moderate, with surrounding grasslands and bushland posing a potential threat during dry periods.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased temperatures
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in flood-prone areas.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk flood zones may experience price stagnation or decline.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Ensure adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Consider energy efficiency upgrades to reduce heat stress.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in improved flood defenses, such as levees and drainage systems, to protect properties and infrastructure from riverine flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement Bushfire Mitigation Measures

Near-term

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, such as controlled burns and vegetation management, to reduce the risk of bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a Heatwave Management Plan

Immediate

Develop a heatwave management plan to protect vulnerable residents during periods of extreme heat, including establishing cooling centers and providing public health advice.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Promote water conservation measures to reduce water demand and ensure water security during periods of drought.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Longford's Climate Risk Profile

Longford, Tasmania, is situated inland and faces a combination of climate-related challenges. The primary concern is the increasing risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Macquarie River. Climate change projections indicate more intense rainfall events, which could exacerbate riverine flooding, impacting low-lying areas and infrastructure.

Bushfire risk is moderate, with surrounding grasslands and bushland posing a threat during dry periods. While not as immediate a concern as flooding, proactive measures are still necessary to mitigate potential fire hazards. Rising average temperatures are also contributing to increased heat risk, with the potential for more frequent and intense heatwaves.

Coastal risks are minimal due to Longford's inland location. However, the broader regional impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to agriculture and tourism, could indirectly affect the community.

Addressing these challenges requires a multi-faceted approach, including improved flood management infrastructure, bushfire mitigation strategies, and community awareness programs. Adaptation measures are crucial to ensure Longford remains a resilient and sustainable community in the face of a changing climate.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Longford?

The main climate risks facing Longford are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Flooding is a particular concern due to the proximity of the Macquarie River.

How is the council preparing for climate change?

The Northern Midlands Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies to address the risks of climate change, including flood mitigation and bushfire management.

What can residents do to prepare for flooding?

Residents can prepare for flooding by checking flood maps, having an emergency plan, and ensuring their property is adequately insured.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, it is important to stay hydrated, stay cool, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find more information about bushfire safety?

More information about bushfire safety can be found on the Tasmania Fire Service website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Longford, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Longford's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Assessment for Longford, TAS | ClimateNest