Climate Risk in Mannum, South Australia

Mannum, South Australia· Mid Murray Council· 5238
Updated Mar 2026

Mannum faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. The Murray River poses a flood threat, while increasing temperatures exacerbate heat stress during summer. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense heat events and potential riverine flooding.

Is Mannum Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Mannum, South Australia, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Mannum

Flood

Mannum faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Murray River. Riverine flooding can inundate low-lying areas.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine overflow

Bushfire

The risk of bushfire in Mannum is relatively low compared to other regions in South Australia, but still present due to surrounding vegetation.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Mannum experiences high temperatures during summer, increasing the risk of heatwaves and heat stress for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves

Coastal

As an inland suburb, Mannum has a negligible risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·N/A

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Mannum

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Mannum experiences high temperatures during summer, increasing the risk of heatwaves and heat stress for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Mannum faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Murray River. Riverine flooding can inundate low-lying areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine overflow
  • ·Dam management
Data source

coastal Risk

As an inland suburb, Mannum has a negligible risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·N/A
Data source

bushfire Risk

The risk of bushfire in Mannum is relatively low compared to other regions in South Australia, but still present due to surrounding vegetation.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Wind
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in areas prone to flooding.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience some price impact.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps
  • 2.Assess property's heat resilience
  • 3.Review insurance options
  • 4.Understand local emergency plans

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in levees and other flood protection measures to protect properties from riverine flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves, including cooling centers and community outreach programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Enhance Water Management

Long-term

Implement water-efficient practices and explore alternative water sources to mitigate the impacts of drought.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Near-term

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures through community workshops and online resources.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Mannum's Climate Risk Profile

Mannum, located on the banks of the Murray River, is susceptible to riverine flooding, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall upstream. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall events, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flooding.

Rising temperatures pose another significant challenge for Mannum. The region already experiences hot summers, and climate change is projected to increase average temperatures and the frequency of heatwaves. This can lead to heat stress, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

While the risk of bushfire is relatively low compared to other areas in South Australia, it is still a concern, especially during dry periods. Residents should maintain their properties to reduce the risk of fire spreading.

As an inland suburb, Mannum is not directly exposed to coastal hazards. However, changes in rainfall patterns and river flows could indirectly affect the region's water resources and agricultural activities. Adaptation measures are needed to address these challenges and ensure the long-term sustainability of the community.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Mannum?

The main climate change risks for Mannum are increased flooding from the Murray River due to more intense rainfall events, and more frequent and severe heatwaves.

How will climate change affect property values in Mannum?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience some price impact. Properties that are more resilient to heat may be more desirable.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The Mid Murray Council is developing strategies to manage flood risk and promote water conservation. Check their website for details.

How can I prepare my home for a heatwave?

Install insulation, use fans and air conditioning, stay hydrated, and check on vulnerable neighbours. Consider planting trees to provide shade.

Where can I find information about flood warnings?

You can find flood warnings on the Bureau of Meteorology website and the State Emergency Service website.

What should I do during a flood?

Move to higher ground, avoid driving through floodwaters, and follow the instructions of emergency services.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Mannum, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk in Mannum, SA | ClimateNest