Climate Risk Profile: Manly, SA
Manly, SA faces increasing risks from climate change, particularly coastal inundation and heatwaves. Bushfire and flood risks are also present and expected to worsen. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Manly Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Manly, South Australia, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Manly
Flood
Flooding may occur due to heavy rainfall and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall events.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Bushfire risk is present due to nearby vegetation. Hotter and drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Manly is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Coastal inundation and erosion are significant threats due to sea level rise. Infrastructure and properties near the coast are particularly vulnerable.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Manly
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Manly is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Flooding may occur due to heavy rainfall and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Coastal inundation and erosion are significant threats due to sea level rise. Infrastructure and properties near the coast are particularly vulnerable.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
- ·Erosion
bushfire Risk
Bushfire risk is present due to nearby vegetation. Hotter and drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Vegetation density
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums may increase due to climate risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price decreases.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps
- 2.Assess bushfire risk
- 3.Evaluate coastal erosion potential
- 4.Consider heatwave impacts
- 5.Review insurance options
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Coastal Protection Measures
ImmediateImplement coastal protection measures such as seawalls and beach nourishment to reduce erosion and inundation risks.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreHeatwave Preparedness Plan
Near-termDevelop and implement a heatwave preparedness plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Risk Mitigation
Near-termImplement bushfire risk mitigation measures such as vegetation management and fire breaks to reduce the risk of bushfires.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreFlood Management Infrastructure
Long-termInvest in flood management infrastructure such as improved drainage systems and flood barriers to reduce the risk of flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreAbout Manly's Climate Risk Profile
Manly, South Australia, is a suburb that will be increasingly affected by climate change. The primary risks include coastal inundation due to sea level rise, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and an increased risk of bushfires and flooding.
Coastal inundation poses a significant threat to properties and infrastructure near the coast. Sea level rise, combined with storm surges, can lead to erosion and damage to coastal areas. Planning and adaptation measures are crucial to mitigate these impacts.
Heatwaves are expected to become more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Urban planning should consider strategies to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide cooling spaces for residents.
Bushfire risk is also a concern, particularly during the dry summer months. Increased temperatures and drier conditions can create a higher risk of bushfires, threatening properties and ecosystems. Residents should be aware of bushfire safety measures and have evacuation plans in place.
Flooding can occur due to heavy rainfall events, which are expected to become more intense with climate change. Proper drainage and flood management strategies are essential to protect properties and infrastructure from flood damage.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
UNKNOWN
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Manly?
The main climate change risks for Manly include coastal inundation, heatwaves, bushfires, and flooding.
How will sea level rise affect Manly?
Sea level rise will increase the risk of coastal inundation and erosion, particularly for properties near the coast.
What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves?
Residents can stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned spaces, and check on vulnerable neighbors during heatwaves.
What are the bushfire risks in Manly?
Bushfire risks are present due to nearby vegetation. Residents should be aware of bushfire safety measures and have evacuation plans in place.
How can I protect my property from flooding?
Consider installing flood barriers, improving drainage, and elevating vulnerable equipment.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Manly, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections