Climate Risk Profile: Warwick, QLD

Warwick, Queensland· Southern Downs Regional· 4370
Updated Apr 2026

Warwick is a regional town in Queensland that faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, potentially impacting infrastructure and community well-being. Bushfire risk is also a concern.

Is Warwick Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Warwick, Queensland, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Warwick

Flood

Warwick faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location near the Condamine River. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding

Bushfire

Bushfire risk in Warwick is moderate, with surrounding bushland posing a potential threat. Drier conditions and higher temperatures associated with climate change could increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation

Heat

Warwick experiences hot summers, and climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Warwick is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Warwick

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Warwick experiences hot summers, and climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Warwick faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location near the Condamine River. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Warwick is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Data source

bushfire Risk

Bushfire risk in Warwick is moderate, with surrounding bushland posing a potential threat. Drier conditions and higher temperatures associated with climate change could increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation
  • ·Wind patterns
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to increased flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider the impact of heatwaves on property comfort and energy costs.
  • 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related hazards.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure improvements to mitigate flood risk, such as levees and improved drainage systems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement Bushfire Management Plans

Near-term

Develop and implement comprehensive bushfire management plans to reduce the risk of property damage and loss of life.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Response Plans

Immediate

Develop and implement heatwave response plans to protect vulnerable populations during periods of extreme heat.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to ensure a sustainable water supply in the face of climate change.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Warwick's Climate Risk Profile

Warwick, located in the Southern Downs region of Queensland, is susceptible to a range of climate-related hazards. The town's proximity to the Condamine River makes it vulnerable to flooding, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change projections indicate an increase in the intensity and frequency of extreme rainfall events, which could lead to more severe and frequent flooding in the future.

Bushfire risk is also a concern for Warwick, with surrounding bushland posing a potential threat. Drier conditions and higher temperatures associated with climate change could increase the likelihood of bushfires, potentially impacting properties and infrastructure.

Heatwaves are another significant climate risk for Warwick, with the town experiencing hot summers. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

While Warwick is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader region may experience indirect impacts from climate change, such as changes in agricultural productivity and water availability. Adapting to these changes will be crucial for ensuring the long-term sustainability of the town and its surrounding communities.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Southern Downs Regional Council

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Warwick?

The main climate change risks for Warwick are increased flooding, bushfire risk, and heatwaves.

How will climate change affect property values in Warwick?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased flood risk.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Warwick?

The Southern Downs Regional Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies to mitigate the impacts of climate change.

How can I prepare my home for a flood in Warwick?

You can prepare your home for a flood by elevating appliances, storing valuables above flood level, and having an emergency plan in place.

What should I do during a heatwave in Warwick?

During a heatwave, you should stay hydrated, stay in air-conditioned environments, and avoid strenuous activity.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Warwick, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Warwick, QLD | ClimateNest