Climate Risk in Tully, QLD

Tully, Queensland· Cassowary Coast· 4854

Updated Mar 2026

Tully faces significant climate risks, particularly from flooding and coastal hazards. Rising temperatures and increased rainfall intensity are expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Tully Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Tully, Queensland, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B

2022 insured disaster losses*

$300B+

climate risk to property by 2050*

30-120%

insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tully

Flood

Tully is highly susceptible to flooding due to its location in a high rainfall area and proximity to the Tully River. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Bushfire risk in Tully is moderate. While not immediately surrounded by dense bushland, the risk can increase during prolonged dry periods and high winds. Climate change is projected to lengthen the fire season and increase fire intensity.

Key drivers:

·Increased temperatures
·Drier conditions

Heat

Tully experiences high average temperatures and humidity, making it vulnerable to heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency, duration, and intensity of heatwaves, posing a significant risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

·Increased average temperatures
·More frequent heatwaves

Coastal

Tully is at high risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to the coast and low-lying areas. Sea level rise and increased storm surge will exacerbate coastal erosion and inundation, threatening infrastructure and communities.

Key drivers:

·Sea level rise
·Increased storm surge

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tully

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Primary Drivers

·Increased average temperatures
·More frequent heatwaves
·Higher humidity

Data source

flood Risk

Primary Drivers

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Sea level rise
·Riverine flooding

Data source

coastal Risk

Primary Drivers

·Sea level rise
·Increased storm surge
·Coastal erosion

Data source

bushfire Risk

Primary Drivers

·Increased temperatures
·Drier conditions
·Longer fire season

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the high risk of flooding and coastal hazards.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
2.Assess the property's vulnerability to bushfires.
3.Consider the potential impact of sea level rise.
4.Obtain adequate insurance coverage.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Immediate

Invest in flood levees, drainage improvements, and other infrastructure to protect homes and businesses from flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Strengthen Coastal Protection

Near-term

Implement coastal protection measures, such as sea walls and beach nourishment, to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, such as controlled burns and vegetation management, to reduce the risk of bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a Heatwave Response Plan

Immediate

Develop a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including providing cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Tully's Climate Risk Profile

Tully, located in the Cassowary Coast region of Queensland, is highly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The region's tropical climate and coastal location make it susceptible to a range of hazards, including flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion.

Flooding is a major concern for Tully, with the Tully River posing a significant risk. Climate change is projected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe flooding events. This can inundate homes, businesses, and infrastructure, causing significant damage and disruption.

Bushfire risk is also present, particularly during dry periods. Rising temperatures and longer fire seasons are expected to increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires, threatening communities and ecosystems.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses. The combination of high temperatures and humidity can create dangerous conditions, leading to heat stress and other health problems.

Coastal erosion and inundation are also significant threats, with sea level rise and increased storm surge expected to exacerbate these hazards. This can damage coastal infrastructure, erode beaches, and inundate low-lying areas, displacing communities and damaging ecosystems.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Cassowary Coast Regional Council

Climate Strategy Flood Maps Emergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Tully?

The main climate change risks in Tully are flooding, coastal erosion, heatwaves and bushfires. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to rising temperatures, sea level rise, and changes in rainfall patterns.

How will climate change affect property values in Tully?

Properties in high-risk areas, such as those prone to flooding or coastal erosion, may experience a decrease in value. It is important to consider climate change risks when buying or selling property in Tully.

What can I do to protect my home from flooding in Tully?

There are several things you can do to protect your home from flooding, such as raising the foundation, installing flood barriers, and improving drainage. Contact the Cassowary Coast Regional Council for more information.

How can I prepare for a heatwave in Tully?

To prepare for a heatwave, stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day, and seek out air-conditioned environments. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Tully?

You can find more information about climate change in Tully from the Cassowary Coast Regional Council, the Queensland Government, and the CSIRO.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Tully, use our analysis tool.

Analyse a Property in Tully →

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Get Your flood Risk Report — A$49

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B

2022 insured disaster losses*

$300B+

climate risk to property by 2050*

30-120%

insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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