Climate Risk Assessment: Rosslyn Bay, QLD

Rosslyn Bay, Queensland
Updated Mar 2026

Rosslyn Bay faces moderate risks from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly through sea level rise and increased temperatures. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Rosslyn Bay Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Rosslyn Bay, Queensland, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Rosslyn Bay

Flood

Rosslyn Bay faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its coastal location and proximity to waterways. Heavy rainfall events can lead to localized flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased rainfall intensity

Bushfire

The risk of bushfires in Rosslyn Bay is relatively low due to the coastal environment and limited vegetation. However, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Strong winds

Heat

Rosslyn Bay experiences high temperatures during summer, leading to heat stress for vulnerable populations. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Rosslyn Bay is vulnerable to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surges. These hazards can cause erosion, inundation, and damage to infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Rosslyn Bay

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Rosslyn Bay experiences high temperatures during summer, leading to heat stress for vulnerable populations. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Rosslyn Bay faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its coastal location and proximity to waterways. Heavy rainfall events can lead to localized flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Storm surges
Data source

coastal Risk

Rosslyn Bay is vulnerable to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surges. These hazards can cause erosion, inundation, and damage to infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
Data source

bushfire Risk

The risk of bushfires in Rosslyn Bay is relatively low due to the coastal environment and limited vegetation. However, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Ignition sources
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price depreciation.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and coastal hazard zones.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making purchasing decisions.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Coastal Defenses

Near-term

Invest in seawalls and other coastal defenses to protect against sea level rise and storm surges.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Flood Management

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems and implement flood-resistant building codes to reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce water stress during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Rosslyn Bay's Climate Risk Profile

Rosslyn Bay, located in Queensland, is a coastal suburb that faces several climate-related challenges. The primary risks include flooding from heavy rainfall and storm surges, increasing heatwaves during summer, and coastal erosion due to sea level rise.

The suburb's proximity to the coast makes it particularly vulnerable to sea level rise and storm surges. These events can inundate low-lying areas, damage infrastructure, and erode beaches. The increasing intensity of rainfall events also contributes to the risk of flooding.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Rosslyn Bay, posing a significant health risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses. The urban heat island effect can further exacerbate these conditions.

While bushfire risk is relatively low compared to other parts of Queensland, dry conditions and strong winds can still create a potential hazard. It is important for residents to maintain their properties and be aware of fire safety measures.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of adaptation and mitigation strategies. This includes investing in infrastructure to protect against flooding and coastal erosion, implementing measures to reduce the urban heat island effect, and promoting energy efficiency to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Rosslyn Bay?

The main risks include flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion due to sea level rise and storm surges.

How will sea level rise affect Rosslyn Bay?

Sea level rise is expected to inundate low-lying areas, damage infrastructure, and erode beaches.

What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves?

Residents should stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The council is developing climate adaptation strategies and investing in infrastructure to protect against climate risks.

Where can I find more information about flood risks in Rosslyn Bay?

You can find flood maps and information on the Livingstone Shire Council website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Rosslyn Bay, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Rosslyn Bay's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections