Climate Risk Assessment: Paget, QLD
Paget faces moderate risks from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly in the coming decades. Residents should take steps to prepare for these challenges.
Is Paget Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Paget, Queensland, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
What the mapping shows for Paget
Part of Paget is mapped as subject to coastal inundation.
47.2% of Paget is mapped as part of the Queensland coastal management district (coastal management district declared under the Coastal Management Act 2016)
Queensland Coastal Management District, State of Queensland (Department of Environment, Tourism, Science and Innovation), Creative Commons Attribution 4.0, retrieved 2026-10-23
This is a share of the suburb's land area from a published state dataset, not an assessment of any property. A ClimateNest report scores the individual address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Check an address in Paget →Climate Hazard Breakdown for Paget
Flood
Paget faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
The bushfire risk in Paget is relatively low due to the developed nature of the area. However, surrounding vegetation poses a potential threat during dry periods.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Windy conditions
Heat
Paget experiences high temperatures during summer, and climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Paget is located near the coast and is exposed to potential coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surge. These hazards could impact infrastructure and property.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Paget
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Paget experiences high temperatures during summer, and climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Reduced vegetation cover
flood Risk
Paget faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Paget is located near the coast and is exposed to potential coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surge. These hazards could impact infrastructure and property.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
The bushfire risk in Paget is relatively low due to the developed nature of the area. However, surrounding vegetation poses a potential threat during dry periods.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Windy conditions
- ·Ignition sources
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the increasing frequency and severity of climate-related events.
Price Impact
Properties in low-lying areas may experience a decrease in value due to flood risk.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
- 4.Consider the potential impact of sea level rise.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Upgrade drainage infrastructure
Near-termInvest in upgrading drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement heatwave early warning system
ImmediateDevelop and implement a heatwave early warning system to alert residents and businesses to impending heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreStrengthen coastal defenses
Long-termConstruct or reinforce coastal defenses to protect against sea level rise and storm surge.
Est. cost: Very High
Learn morePromote energy efficiency
Near-termEncourage businesses and residents to adopt energy-efficient practices to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Paget's Climate Risk Profile
Paget, Queensland, is an industrial suburb located near Mackay. Its proximity to the coast and low-lying areas makes it vulnerable to several climate-related hazards.
Flooding is a significant concern for Paget. Increased rainfall intensity due to climate change is expected to increase the frequency and severity of floods. This could disrupt business operations and damage infrastructure.
Heatwaves are another major risk. Rising temperatures will lead to more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing health risks to workers and residents, especially those working outdoors.
Coastal hazards, such as sea level rise and storm surge, also threaten Paget. These hazards could inundate low-lying areas and damage coastal infrastructure.
Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of adaptation and mitigation measures. Businesses and residents should invest in flood protection, improve building insulation, and reduce their carbon footprint.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Mackay Regional Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Paget?
The main climate change risks for Paget include increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surge.
How will climate change affect businesses in Paget?
Climate change could disrupt business operations due to flooding, heatwaves, and damage to infrastructure. Businesses may also face increased insurance costs.
What can residents do to prepare for climate change?
Residents can take steps to prepare for climate change by investing in flood protection, improving building insulation, and reducing their carbon footprint.
Is Paget likely to experience more extreme weather events in the future?
Yes, climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events in Paget, including floods, heatwaves, and storms.
Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Paget?
You can find more information about climate change risks in Paget from the Mackay Regional Council, the Queensland Government, and the Bureau of Meteorology.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections