Climate Risk Assessment for Manly, QLD
Manly, Queensland, faces increasing risks from climate change, particularly related to flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Sea level rise and more intense storms threaten coastal infrastructure and property. Residents should prepare for more frequent and severe extreme weather events.
Is Manly Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Manly, Queensland, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections
Not ready to check your address? See a free sample report →
Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Manly
Flood
Manly is susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall and storm surges, particularly in low-lying areas near the coast. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Bushfire risk in Manly is relatively low due to its coastal location and limited vegetation. However, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the risk, particularly in areas bordering parkland.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry conditions
- ·Strong winds
Heat
Manly experiences hot summers, and climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising temperatures
- ·Increased humidity
Coastal
As a coastal suburb, Manly is vulnerable to sea level rise and coastal erosion. Climate change is expected to accelerate these processes, threatening infrastructure, property, and natural ecosystems.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Manly
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Manly experiences hot summers, and climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising temperatures
- ·Increased humidity
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Manly is susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall and storm surges, particularly in low-lying areas near the coast. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
coastal Risk
As a coastal suburb, Manly is vulnerable to sea level rise and coastal erosion. Climate change is expected to accelerate these processes, threatening infrastructure, property, and natural ecosystems.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
Bushfire risk in Manly is relatively low due to its coastal location and limited vegetation. However, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the risk, particularly in areas bordering parkland.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry conditions
- ·Strong winds
- ·Proximity to vegetation
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risk of flooding and coastal damage.
Price Impact
Properties in low-lying areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased flood risk.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess the property's elevation and drainage.
- 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
- 4.Consider the potential impact of sea level rise on the property.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve drainage infrastructure
ImmediateUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave preparedness plan
Near-termImplement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement coastal protection measures
Near-termConstruct seawalls and other coastal defenses to protect against erosion and sea level rise.
Est. cost: Very High
Learn moreRaise awareness about climate risks
Long-termEducate residents about the risks of climate change and how to prepare for extreme weather events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Manly's Climate Risk Profile
Manly, a coastal suburb of Brisbane, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from heavy rainfall and storm surges, exacerbated by sea level rise. The suburb's low-lying areas are particularly susceptible, and the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events are projected to increase.
Heatwaves are another significant concern, with rising temperatures posing a threat to public health, especially for vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect can further amplify these risks, making it essential to implement strategies to mitigate heat exposure.
Coastal erosion and inundation are also major threats, as sea level rise and more intense storms erode shorelines and damage coastal infrastructure. Protecting beaches and foreshores is crucial for maintaining the suburb's character and economy.
Addressing these challenges requires a coordinated effort involving local government, residents, and businesses. Adaptation measures, such as improved drainage systems, heatwave preparedness plans, and coastal protection strategies, are essential for building resilience to climate change.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Brisbane City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Manly?
The main risks are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion, all of which are expected to worsen with climate change.
How can I prepare for a flood in Manly?
Stay informed about weather warnings, have an evacuation plan, and protect your property by raising valuables and sealing off low-lying areas.
What should I do during a heatwave in Manly?
Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
Is my property at risk from sea level rise in Manly?
Properties in low-lying coastal areas are at higher risk. Check flood maps and consult with a coastal engineer to assess your property's vulnerability.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Manly?
The Brisbane City Council is implementing various strategies, including upgrading drainage infrastructure, developing heatwave preparedness plans, and implementing coastal protection measures.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Manly, use our analysis tool.
Check Your flood Risk Now
Check Manly's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.
What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections