Climate Risk in Kirwan, QLD
Kirwan, Queensland, faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly in terms of increased heat and flooding events. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather.
Is Kirwan Safe from Climate Risk?
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Kirwan
Flood
Kirwan faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Kirwan has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Kirwan experiences high temperatures, particularly during summer. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Kirwan faces a moderate coastal risk due to potential sea level rise and storm surges. While not directly on the coast, the area can be affected by extreme weather events.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Kirwan
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Kirwan experiences high temperatures, particularly during summer. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Kirwan faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Climate change
coastal Risk
Kirwan faces a moderate coastal risk due to potential sea level rise and storm surges. While not directly on the coast, the area can be affected by extreme weather events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
- ·Climate change
bushfire Risk
Kirwan has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Wind
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to the increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events.
Price Impact
Properties in areas more vulnerable to flooding or bushfires may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
- 3.Consider the potential impact of heatwaves on property value and livability.
- 4.Review insurance coverage and premiums.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve drainage infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce the risk of flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement bushfire management strategies
Near-termClear vegetation around properties and create firebreaks to reduce the risk of bushfires.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave response plan
ImmediateEstablish cooling centers and provide support to vulnerable populations during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreStrengthen building codes
Long-termUpdate building codes to ensure that new buildings are more resilient to extreme weather events.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreAbout Kirwan's Climate Risk Profile
Kirwan is a suburb in Queensland that is exposed to a range of climate-related risks. Flooding is a significant concern due to the suburb's proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to both riverine and flash flooding, impacting homes and infrastructure.
Bushfire risk is also present, with surrounding bushland posing a threat during hot, dry conditions. The risk is elevated during periods of drought and high winds. Residents should maintain their properties and be aware of fire danger ratings.
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions. Urban areas like Kirwan tend to experience a greater urban heat island effect.
While not directly on the coast, Kirwan can be affected by coastal hazards such as storm surges and sea level rise, particularly during extreme weather events. Planning for future sea level rise is important to protect infrastructure and property values.
Climate change projections indicate that these risks will likely increase in the coming decades. Residents and local authorities should take proactive measures to adapt to these changes and mitigate their impacts.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Townsville City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Kirwan?
Kirwan faces risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events.
How can I prepare my home for a flood?
Raise electrical outlets, store valuables above flood level, and install flood barriers. Check the Townsville City Council flood maps for your property.
What should I do during a heatwave?
Stay indoors, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on elderly neighbors and friends.
How can I protect my property from bushfires?
Clear vegetation around your home, maintain firebreaks, and have a bushfire survival plan. Monitor QFES alerts.
Where can I find more information about climate change in Kirwan?
Consult the Townsville City Council website, the Bureau of Meteorology, and the CSIRO for the latest climate data and projections.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Kirwan, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections