Climate Risk Profile: Ferny Grove, QLD

Ferny Grove, Queensland· Brisbane City· 4055
Updated Mar 2026

Ferny Grove faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Bushfire risk is also a concern. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events in the future.

Is Ferny Grove Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Ferny Grove, Queensland, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Ferny Grove

Flood

Ferny Grove has a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could worsen the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

Bushfire risk is present due to surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures may increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Ferny Grove is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Coastal risk is very low due to the suburb's distance from the coast.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Ferny Grove

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Ferny Grove is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Ferny Grove has a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could worsen the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

Coastal risk is very low due to the suburb's distance from the coast.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

Bushfire risk is present due to surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures may increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and property maintenance.
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency for heat mitigation.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve stormwater drainage

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater infrastructure to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire hazard reduction

Near-term

Implement regular bushfire hazard reduction programs in surrounding bushland areas.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Heatwave preparedness plan

Immediate

Develop a community heatwave preparedness plan, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce strain on water resources during drier periods.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Ferny Grove's Climate Risk Profile

Ferny Grove, located in the foothills of Brisbane, is susceptible to several climate-related risks. The suburb's proximity to waterways increases its vulnerability to flooding, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change is expected to exacerbate this risk, with more intense rainfall events becoming more frequent.

Bushfire risk is also a factor, given the surrounding bushland. Hotter and drier conditions can increase the likelihood of bushfires, posing a threat to properties and residents. It is important for homeowners to maintain their properties and be aware of bushfire safety measures.

Heatwaves are another growing concern. As global temperatures rise, Ferny Grove is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, which can have significant health impacts, especially for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing medical conditions.

While coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased insurance costs, could still affect the community. Residents should stay informed about climate risks and take steps to adapt to the changing environment.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Ferny Grove?

The main risks are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a higher risk of bushfires.

How will climate change affect property values in Ferny Grove?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline. Increased insurance costs may also affect property values.

What can I do to prepare my home for increased heatwaves?

Improve insulation, install air conditioning or fans, and plant trees to provide shade.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Ferny Grove?

You can find flood maps and information on the Brisbane City Council website.

How can I prepare my property for bushfire season?

Clear vegetation around your home, maintain gutters, and have a bushfire survival plan.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Ferny Grove, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Ferny Grove, QLD | ClimateNest