Climate Risk in Clontarf, QLD

Clontarf, Queensland· Moreton Bay· 4019
Updated Mar 2026

Clontarf is a coastal suburb in Queensland that faces several climate-related risks, including flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These risks are expected to increase with climate change, potentially impacting property values and community well-being. Residents should take steps to prepare for these challenges.

Is Clontarf Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Clontarf, Queensland, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Clontarf

Flood

Clontarf is located in a low-lying coastal area and is susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall and storm surges. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased rainfall intensity

Bushfire

Clontarf has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its coastal location and limited vegetation. However, some areas near parks and reserves may be at slightly higher risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry vegetation

Heat

Clontarf experiences hot summers, and the risk of heatwaves is expected to increase with climate change. This can pose a health risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising temperatures
  • ·Increased humidity

Coastal

Clontarf is vulnerable to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise and storm surges. This can damage property and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

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Energy

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In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Clontarf

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Clontarf experiences hot summers, and the risk of heatwaves is expected to increase with climate change. This can pose a health risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising temperatures
  • ·Increased humidity
Data source

flood Risk

Clontarf is located in a low-lying coastal area and is susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall and storm surges. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Storm surge
Data source

coastal Risk

Clontarf is vulnerable to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise and storm surges. This can damage property and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
  • ·Erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

Clontarf has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its coastal location and limited vegetation. However, some areas near parks and reserves may be at slightly higher risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry vegetation
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Increasing premiums due to flood and coastal risks.

Price Impact

Potential for decreased property values in high-risk areas.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess coastal erosion risks.
  • 3.Consider heat mitigation measures.
  • 4.Review council climate adaptation plans.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade stormwater drainage

Near-term

Improve stormwater drainage infrastructure to reduce the risk of flooding from heavy rainfall.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Construct coastal defenses

Long-term

Build seawalls and other coastal defenses to protect against sea level rise and storm surges.

Est. cost: Very High

Learn more

Implement heatwave early warning system

Immediate

Develop and implement a heatwave early warning system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on how to stay safe.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote green infrastructure

Near-term

Increase green spaces and tree cover to reduce the urban heat island effect and improve stormwater management.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Clontarf's Climate Risk Profile

Clontarf, located in the Moreton Bay region of Queensland, is a suburb that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Its low-lying coastal geography makes it particularly susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall, storm surges, and sea level rise. The increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events pose a significant threat to the community and its infrastructure.

The risk of heatwaves is also a growing concern for Clontarf. As temperatures continue to rise, vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions, are at greater risk of heat-related illnesses. The urban heat island effect can exacerbate these risks, particularly in areas with limited green space.

Coastal erosion is another significant challenge for Clontarf. Sea level rise and storm surges are contributing to the erosion of beaches and foreshores, threatening property and infrastructure along the coastline. Protecting these areas will require a combination of hard and soft engineering solutions.

Addressing these climate-related risks will require a coordinated effort from all levels of government, as well as the community. This includes investing in infrastructure upgrades, implementing adaptation measures, and reducing greenhouse gas emissions. By taking proactive steps, Clontarf can build resilience and protect its community from the worst impacts of climate change.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Clontarf?

Clontarf faces risks from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion due to climate change.

How is the council addressing climate change in Clontarf?

The Moreton Bay Regional Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation plans to address these risks.

What can I do to prepare for flooding in Clontarf?

Check flood maps, have an emergency plan, and consider flood insurance.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave in Clontarf?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Clontarf?

Consult the Moreton Bay Regional Council website and the Queensland Government's climate change resources.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Clontarf, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections