Climate Risk in Aitkenvale, QLD
Aitkenvale is a suburb in Townsville, Queensland, that faces a medium overall climate risk. The primary risks are flooding and heatwaves, with potential indirect impacts from coastal hazards. Residents should be aware of these risks and take appropriate adaptation measures.
Is Aitkenvale Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Aitkenvale, Queensland, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Aitkenvale
Flood
Aitkenvale faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to Ross River and other waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development reducing natural drainage
Bushfire
Aitkenvale has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urbanized environment and distance from large areas of dense bushland. However, dry vegetation in parks and reserves can pose a localized risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Windy conditions
Heat
Aitkenvale experiences high temperatures during the summer months, leading to heat stress for vulnerable populations. Climate change is expected to exacerbate heatwave conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Aitkenvale is located inland and is not directly exposed to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surge. However, indirect impacts from coastal erosion and flooding in nearby coastal areas are possible.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Aitkenvale
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Aitkenvale experiences high temperatures during the summer months, leading to heat stress for vulnerable populations. Climate change is expected to exacerbate heatwave conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Aitkenvale faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to Ross River and other waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development reducing natural drainage
- ·Climate change impacts on weather patterns
coastal Risk
Aitkenvale is located inland and is not directly exposed to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surge. However, indirect impacts from coastal erosion and flooding in nearby coastal areas are possible.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
Aitkenvale has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urbanized environment and distance from large areas of dense bushland. However, dry vegetation in parks and reserves can pose a localized risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Windy conditions
- ·Potential for ignition from human activity
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums may increase due to flood risk.
Price Impact
Potential for moderate price impact in the long term.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood history of the property.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Inquire about council plans for climate adaptation.
- 4.Review insurance options and costs.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to better manage stormwater runoff and reduce the risk of flash flooding.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop a Heat Action Plan
ImmediateImplement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreReinforce Buildings
Near-termEncourage homeowners and businesses to reinforce their buildings to withstand extreme weather events, such as floods and storms.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn morePlant Trees and Create Green Spaces
Long-termIncrease tree cover and create green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Aitkenvale's Climate Risk Profile
Aitkenvale, located in Townsville, Queensland, is subject to a range of climate-related risks. The most significant of these is flooding, due to the suburb's proximity to the Ross River and other waterways. Intense rainfall events can cause both riverine and flash flooding, impacting homes, businesses, and infrastructure.
Heatwaves are another major concern for Aitkenvale. The suburb experiences high temperatures during the summer months, which can lead to heat stress, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Climate change is expected to exacerbate heatwave conditions, increasing their frequency and intensity.
While Aitkenvale is not directly located on the coast, it can still be indirectly affected by coastal hazards. Sea level rise and storm surge can cause erosion and flooding in nearby coastal areas, which can disrupt transportation, supply chains, and other essential services.
To mitigate these risks, residents and businesses in Aitkenvale should take steps to prepare for and adapt to climate change. This includes measures such as improving drainage, reinforcing buildings, planting trees to provide shade, and developing emergency plans. The local council also has a role to play in implementing policies and infrastructure projects that reduce climate risks.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Townsville City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Aitkenvale?
The main climate risks in Aitkenvale are flooding, heatwaves, and indirect impacts from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surge.
How can I prepare for flooding in Aitkenvale?
You can prepare for flooding by checking the flood history of your property, elevating valuable items, and developing an emergency plan.
What is the urban heat island effect, and how does it affect Aitkenvale?
The urban heat island effect is the phenomenon where urban areas are significantly warmer than surrounding rural areas due to human activities. This can exacerbate heatwave conditions in Aitkenvale.
What is Townsville City Council doing to address climate change?
Townsville City Council is implementing a range of measures to address climate change, including improving drainage infrastructure, promoting energy efficiency, and developing a climate adaptation strategy.
Where can I find more information about climate risks in Aitkenvale?
You can find more information about climate risks in Aitkenvale on the Townsville City Council website, the Queensland Government website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections