Climate Risk Profile: Rosebery, NT
Rosebery faces moderate climate risks, primarily related to flooding and heatwaves. Rising temperatures and increased rainfall intensity are key drivers of these risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Rosebery Safe from Climate Risk?
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Rosebery
Flood
Rosebery faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine overflow. The area's flat topography and drainage infrastructure contribute to this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Rosebery has a relatively low bushfire risk due to the limited presence of dense vegetation in close proximity to residential areas. However, dry grass and scrubland can still pose a threat during the dry season.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Wind patterns
Heat
Rosebery experiences high temperatures, particularly during the summer months, leading to a significant heat risk. Vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions, are most at risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Rosebery is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from the coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Rosebery
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Rosebery experiences high temperatures, particularly during the summer months, leading to a significant heat risk. Vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions, are most at risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Rosebery faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine overflow. The area's flat topography and drainage infrastructure contribute to this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Aging drainage infrastructure
coastal Risk
Rosebery is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from the coast
bushfire Risk
Rosebery has a relatively low bushfire risk due to the limited presence of dense vegetation in close proximity to residential areas. However, dry grass and scrubland can still pose a threat during the dry season.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Wind patterns
- ·Land management practices
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and heat risks.
Price Impact
Property values may be affected by increased climate risks.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Inquire about bushfire risk and mitigation measures.
- 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related events.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade and expand drainage systems to better manage increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement Heat Action Plans
ImmediateDevelop and implement heat action plans to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termEncourage water conservation measures to reduce strain on water resources during dry periods.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreEnhance Bushfire Preparedness
Near-termImplement bushfire mitigation measures, such as vegetation management and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Rosebery's Climate Risk Profile
Rosebery, Northern Territory, is exposed to a range of climate-related risks that are projected to intensify in the coming decades. The primary concerns are flooding due to increased rainfall and heatwaves resulting from rising average temperatures.
Flooding is a significant concern for Rosebery, with potential for both riverine and flash flooding. Increased rainfall intensity, driven by climate change, is expected to exacerbate this risk. The suburb's topography and existing drainage infrastructure may struggle to cope with more frequent and intense rainfall events.
Heatwaves pose another substantial threat to Rosebery. Rising average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves can lead to heat stress and other health problems, particularly for vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect can further amplify these risks in densely built areas.
While bushfire risk is relatively low compared to other parts of Australia, it is still a concern, especially during the dry season. Dry grass and scrubland can create fuel for fires, and strong winds can quickly spread flames.
Coastal risks are minimal due to Rosebery's inland location.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Unincorporated NT
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Rosebery?
The main climate change risks in Rosebery are increased flooding due to more intense rainfall events and more frequent and severe heatwaves.
How will climate change affect property values in Rosebery?
Climate change may negatively affect property values in Rosebery due to increased risks of flooding and heatwaves. Properties in high-risk areas may experience a greater impact.
What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Rosebery?
To prepare for heatwaves, stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, avoid strenuous activities during the hottest part of the day, and check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Rosebery?
You can find information about flood risks in Rosebery on the Northern Territory Government's website, which provides flood maps and data.
What is the local council doing to address climate change in Rosebery?
The Northern Territory Government is developing and implementing climate change strategies and policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. Refer to their website for more information.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Rosebery, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections