Climate Risk Assessment for Manly, NT
Manly, NT faces moderate climate risks. The primary concerns are increasing heatwaves and potential flooding. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Manly Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Manly, Northern Territory, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Manly
Flood
Flooding can occur from heavy rainfall events, potentially impacting low-lying areas and properties close to waterways.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Bushfire risk is present due to surrounding vegetation, particularly during the dry season. Changes in temperature and rainfall patterns can exacerbate this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
The suburb experiences high temperatures, with potential for heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat events.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Coastal risks include potential sea level rise and erosion, which could impact properties near the coastline.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Manly
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
The suburb experiences high temperatures, with potential for heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Flooding can occur from heavy rainfall events, potentially impacting low-lying areas and properties close to waterways.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Sea level rise
coastal Risk
Coastal risks include potential sea level rise and erosion, which could impact properties near the coastline.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
Bushfire risk is present due to surrounding vegetation, particularly during the dry season. Changes in temperature and rainfall patterns can exacerbate this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Vegetation dryness
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price impacts
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations
- 2.Assess property resilience to heat and extreme weather
- 3.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion
- 4.Review insurance coverage and potential premium increases
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Building Resilience
Near-termUpgrade building materials and design to withstand extreme weather events, such as heatwaves and floods.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement Water Conservation Measures
Near-termReduce water consumption to mitigate the impacts of drought and water scarcity.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePrepare for Heatwaves
ImmediateDevelop a heatwave preparedness plan, including measures to stay cool and hydrated.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreManage Vegetation
Near-termClear vegetation around properties to reduce bushfire risk.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreSupport Coastal Protection
Long-termParticipate in community efforts to protect coastlines from erosion and sea level rise.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Manly's Climate Risk Profile
Manly, located in the Northern Territory, is subject to a range of climate-related risks. The suburb is particularly vulnerable to increasing temperatures and heatwaves, which are projected to become more frequent and intense in the coming decades. Changes in rainfall patterns may also increase the risk of flooding, especially in low-lying areas.
Bushfire risk is also a concern, particularly during the dry season. The surrounding vegetation can become highly flammable, and changes in temperature and rainfall patterns can exacerbate this risk. Coastal risks, including sea level rise and erosion, should also be considered for properties near the coastline.
Climate change projections indicate that these risks will continue to increase in the future. It is important for residents and property owners to take steps to adapt to these changes, such as improving building resilience, implementing water conservation measures, and preparing for extreme weather events.
Local authorities are working to address these challenges through climate adaptation strategies and emergency management plans. However, individual action is also essential to protect lives and property.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Northern Territory Government
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Manly?
The main climate risks in Manly include increasing heatwaves, potential flooding, bushfire risk, and coastal hazards such as sea level rise and erosion.
How will climate change affect property values in Manly?
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price impacts due to climate change. Buyers should assess property resilience and consider potential impacts of extreme weather events.
What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Manly?
Develop a heatwave preparedness plan, including measures to stay cool and hydrated. Seek air-conditioned environments and avoid strenuous activities during peak heat hours.
How can I reduce my property's bushfire risk?
Clear vegetation around your property and maintain a defensible space. Follow local fire safety guidelines and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Manly?
Consult local council flood maps and emergency services resources for information about flood risks in your area. Check your property's flood zone designation and take appropriate precautions.
What is the council doing to address climate change?
The Northern Territory Government is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies to address the impacts of climate change. Check the council's website for more information.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Manly, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections