Climate Risk in Maningrida, Northern Territory

Maningrida, Northern Territory· West Arnhem· 0822
Updated Mar 2026

Maningrida faces significant climate risks, particularly from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. The community needs to implement adaptation measures to protect its residents and infrastructure. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades.

Is Maningrida Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Maningrida, Northern Territory, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Maningrida

Flood

Maningrida faces a high risk of flooding due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to rivers. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding, impacting residential and commercial areas.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

The risk of bushfires in Maningrida is moderate, with the surrounding savanna grasslands and woodlands posing a potential fire hazard during the dry season. Changes in temperature and rainfall patterns could exacerbate fire risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Prolonged dry periods

Heat

Maningrida experiences high temperatures and humidity, particularly during the wet season. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing health risks to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

As a coastal community, Maningrida is vulnerable to the impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion. Rising sea levels can inundate low-lying areas, damage infrastructure, and displace communities.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm surge

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Maningrida

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Maningrida experiences high temperatures and humidity, particularly during the wet season. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing health risks to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Maningrida faces a high risk of flooding due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to rivers. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding, impacting residential and commercial areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
Data source

coastal Risk

As a coastal community, Maningrida is vulnerable to the impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion. Rising sea levels can inundate low-lying areas, damage infrastructure, and displace communities.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm surge
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

The risk of bushfires in Maningrida is moderate, with the surrounding savanna grasslands and woodlands posing a potential fire hazard during the dry season. Changes in temperature and rainfall patterns could exacerbate fire risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Prolonged dry periods
  • ·Fuel load accumulation
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums are likely to increase due to the high risk of flooding and other climate-related hazards.

Price Impact

Properties in low-lying areas may experience a decrease in value due to the risk of flooding and sea level rise.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to sea level rise and coastal erosion.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Consider the property's energy efficiency and ability to withstand extreme weather events.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade Drainage Infrastructure

Immediate

Improve drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding from heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Build Seawalls and Coastal Defenses

Near-term

Construct seawalls and other coastal defenses to protect against sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Est. cost: Very High

Learn more

Relocate Vulnerable Assets

Long-term

Relocate critical infrastructure and residential areas away from low-lying coastal areas.

Est. cost: Very High

Learn more

Implement Bushfire Management Strategies

Near-term

Reduce fuel loads and implement firebreaks to mitigate the risk of bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a Heatwave Management Plan

Immediate

Implement a plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwave events, including providing access to cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Maningrida's Climate Risk Profile

Maningrida, located on the coast of Arnhem Land in the Northern Territory, is highly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The community's low-lying coastal location makes it particularly susceptible to flooding from intense rainfall events and rising sea levels. The combination of these factors poses a significant threat to the town's infrastructure, housing, and cultural heritage.

Bushfire risk is also a concern, with the surrounding savanna grasslands and woodlands prone to fires during the dry season. Changes in temperature and rainfall patterns could increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires, threatening lives and property. The region already experiences high temperatures and humidity, and climate change is expected to exacerbate heatwave conditions, posing health risks to vulnerable populations.

Sea level rise is a major threat to Maningrida, with the potential to inundate low-lying areas, erode coastlines, and damage critical infrastructure. The community needs to implement adaptation measures to protect itself from these impacts. These measures may include building seawalls, improving drainage infrastructure, and relocating vulnerable assets.

Addressing climate change in Maningrida requires a collaborative effort involving the local community, government agencies, and other stakeholders. By working together, the community can build resilience to climate change and ensure a sustainable future for generations to come.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks facing Maningrida?

Maningrida faces significant risks from flooding, sea level rise, heatwaves, and bushfires due to climate change.

How will sea level rise affect Maningrida?

Sea level rise is expected to inundate low-lying areas of Maningrida, damage infrastructure, and displace communities.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The West Arnhem Regional Council is developing and implementing strategies to mitigate and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

How can residents prepare for heatwaves?

Residents can prepare for heatwaves by staying hydrated, seeking shade, and avoiding strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day.

What should I do during a flood?

During a flood, it is important to evacuate to higher ground and avoid driving or walking through floodwaters.

Where can I find information about emergency services in Maningrida?

Information about emergency services in Maningrida can be found on the NT Police, Fire and Emergency Services website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Maningrida, use our analysis tool.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections