Climate Risk in Larrakeyah, Northern Territory
Larrakeyah, NT, faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding, heat, and coastal hazards. Sea level rise and increased rainfall intensity are key drivers of these risks, potentially impacting property values and community well-being. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Larrakeyah Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Larrakeyah, Northern Territory, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Larrakeyah
Flood
Larrakeyah faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to Darwin Harbour. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater inundation.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
Bushfire
The risk of bushfire in Larrakeyah is relatively low compared to other regions, due to its urban environment and limited vegetation. However, dry grass and nearby parklands can pose a localized threat during the dry season.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry season conditions
- ·Vegetation dryness
Heat
Larrakeyah experiences high heat levels, particularly during the wet season. Rising temperatures and increased humidity can lead to heat stress and discomfort for residents.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
As a coastal suburb, Larrakeyah is vulnerable to the impacts of sea level rise and storm surges. Coastal erosion and inundation pose a threat to infrastructure and property.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Larrakeyah
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Larrakeyah experiences high heat levels, particularly during the wet season. Rising temperatures and increased humidity can lead to heat stress and discomfort for residents.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·High humidity
flood Risk
Larrakeyah faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to Darwin Harbour. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater inundation.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Storm surge
coastal Risk
As a coastal suburb, Larrakeyah is vulnerable to the impacts of sea level rise and storm surges. Coastal erosion and inundation pose a threat to infrastructure and property.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
The risk of bushfire in Larrakeyah is relatively low compared to other regions, due to its urban environment and limited vegetation. However, dry grass and nearby parklands can pose a localized threat during the dry season.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry season conditions
- ·Vegetation dryness
- ·Wind patterns
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.
Price Impact
Property values may be negatively impacted by increased flood and coastal risks.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to sea level rise.
- 3.Consider heat mitigation measures.
- 4.Review council's climate adaptation plans.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve stormwater drainage
Near-termUpgrade stormwater infrastructure to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement coastal protection measures
Long-termConstruct seawalls and other coastal defenses to protect against sea level rise and erosion.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave management plan
ImmediateEstablish cooling centers and provide public education on heat safety during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreRaise awareness of climate risks
Near-termConduct community workshops and distribute information on climate change impacts and adaptation strategies.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Larrakeyah's Climate Risk Profile
Larrakeyah is a coastal suburb of Darwin, Northern Territory, characterized by its proximity to Darwin Harbour and low-lying topography. This makes it particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change, especially sea level rise and increased storm intensity.
The primary climate risks for Larrakeyah include flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. Flooding can occur due to intense rainfall events and storm surges, while heatwaves pose a significant health risk to vulnerable populations. Sea level rise is expected to exacerbate coastal erosion and inundation, threatening infrastructure and property.
The Northern Territory government and the City of Darwin are taking steps to address climate change, including developing climate adaptation strategies and investing in infrastructure improvements. However, individual residents and property owners also need to take proactive measures to protect themselves and their assets.
These measures include preparing for extreme weather events, investing in flood protection measures, and considering the long-term climate risks when making property decisions. Staying informed about climate projections and local government initiatives is crucial for building resilience in Larrakeyah.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
City of Darwin
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Larrakeyah?
The main climate change risks for Larrakeyah include increased flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion due to sea level rise and storm surges.
How will sea level rise affect Larrakeyah?
Sea level rise is expected to exacerbate coastal erosion and inundation, threatening infrastructure, property, and natural habitats in Larrakeyah.
What is the City of Darwin doing to address climate change?
The City of Darwin is developing climate adaptation strategies, investing in infrastructure improvements, and promoting community awareness of climate risks.
How can I prepare my property for increased flooding?
You can prepare your property for increased flooding by elevating structures, installing flood barriers, and improving drainage.
Where can I find more information about climate change in Larrakeyah?
You can find more information about climate change in Larrakeyah on the City of Darwin website, the Northern Territory government website, and the CSIRO website.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections