Climate Risk in Katherine, NT

Katherine, Northern Territory· 0850
Updated Mar 2026

Katherine is a regional hub in the Northern Territory, facing significant climate risks, particularly from flooding and heatwaves. The town's location on the Katherine River makes it vulnerable to riverine flooding, while rising temperatures exacerbate heat stress during the wet season. Bushfire risk is also a concern due to the surrounding savanna.

Is Katherine Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Katherine, Northern Territory, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Katherine

Flood

Katherine faces a high risk of flooding due to its location on the Katherine River and susceptibility to monsoonal rainfall. Riverine and flash flooding are both concerns.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in river flow patterns

Bushfire

Katherine experiences a moderate bushfire risk due to the surrounding savanna grasslands and woodlands, which are prone to fire during the dry season.

Key drivers:

  • ·Prolonged dry seasons
  • ·Increased fuel load

Heat

Katherine is subject to high heat risk, with extremely high temperatures during the wet season months. This poses a significant threat to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves

Coastal

Katherine is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Katherine

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Katherine is subject to high heat risk, with extremely high temperatures during the wet season months. This poses a significant threat to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
  • ·Increased humidity
Data source

flood Risk

Katherine faces a high risk of flooding due to its location on the Katherine River and susceptibility to monsoonal rainfall. Riverine and flash flooding are both concerns.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in river flow patterns
  • ·Urban development increasing runoff
Data source

coastal Risk

Katherine is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.

Data source

bushfire Risk

Katherine experiences a moderate bushfire risk due to the surrounding savanna grasslands and woodlands, which are prone to fire during the dry season.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Prolonged dry seasons
  • ·Increased fuel load
  • ·Higher temperatures
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the high flood and heat risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to bushfires.
  • 3.Consider the impact of heatwaves on energy costs and comfort.
  • 4.Ensure adequate insurance coverage for flood and fire risks.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade flood defenses

Immediate

Invest in levees, drainage systems, and flood-resistant building designs to protect properties from riverine flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement heat action plans

Immediate

Develop and implement heat action plans to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Improve bushfire management

Near-term

Enhance bushfire management practices, including fuel reduction, early detection systems, and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Strengthen building codes

Long-term

Update building codes to incorporate climate resilience measures, such as flood-resistant materials and designs, and improved insulation for heat protection.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Community awareness programs

Near-term

Educate the community about climate risks and adaptation measures through workshops, public forums, and online resources.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Katherine's Climate Risk Profile

Katherine is located in the Northern Territory, approximately 320 kilometers southeast of Darwin. The town is situated on the banks of the Katherine River and is a major service center for the surrounding pastoral and agricultural industries.

The primary climate risks for Katherine are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. The Katherine River is prone to flooding during the wet season, and the town has experienced several major flood events in the past. Rising temperatures are increasing the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a threat to public health, especially for vulnerable populations.

The surrounding savanna grasslands and woodlands are susceptible to bushfires during the dry season. Prolonged dry periods and high temperatures increase the risk of fire ignition and spread. Changes in rainfall patterns and increased fuel loads are also contributing to the bushfire risk.

While Katherine is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader Northern Territory coastline is vulnerable to sea level rise and coastal erosion. These changes could indirectly impact Katherine through disruptions to supply chains and infrastructure.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Katherine?

The main climate change risks in Katherine are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. The town is vulnerable to riverine flooding, and rising temperatures are increasing the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. The surrounding savanna grasslands and woodlands are susceptible to bushfires during the dry season.

How is the Katherine Town Council addressing climate change?

The Katherine Town Council is developing strategies to address climate change, including improving flood defenses, implementing heat action plans, and enhancing bushfire management practices. They are also working to educate the community about climate risks and adaptation measures.

What can I do to protect my property from flooding in Katherine?

To protect your property from flooding in Katherine, you can consider installing flood barriers, raising the elevation of your home, and improving drainage around your property. It is also important to have adequate insurance coverage for flood damage.

How can I prepare for heatwaves in Katherine?

To prepare for heatwaves in Katherine, you should stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day, and seek shelter in air-conditioned buildings. It is also important to check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

What should I do to prepare for bushfires in Katherine?

To prepare for bushfires in Katherine, you should clear vegetation around your property, maintain firebreaks, and have a bushfire survival plan. It is also important to stay informed about bushfire warnings and evacuation orders.

Where can I find information about flood maps in Katherine?

Flood maps for Katherine are available on the Northern Territory Government's Department of Environment, Parks and Water Security website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Katherine, use our analysis tool.

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections