Climate Risk Profile: Jabiru, NT
Jabiru faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. The risk of bushfire is also present. Coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location.
Is Jabiru Safe from Climate Risk?
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Jabiru
Flood
Jabiru faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location in a tropical region with a pronounced wet season. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Changes in land use
Bushfire
The risk of bushfire in Jabiru is moderate. The surrounding savanna grasslands and woodlands are prone to fire during the dry season.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Lightning strikes
Heat
Jabiru experiences high temperatures and humidity, particularly during the wet season. Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Jabiru is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Jabiru
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Jabiru experiences high temperatures and humidity, particularly during the wet season. Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Jabiru faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location in a tropical region with a pronounced wet season. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Changes in land use
- ·Aging infrastructure
coastal Risk
Jabiru is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
The risk of bushfire in Jabiru is moderate. The surrounding savanna grasslands and woodlands are prone to fire during the dry season.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Lightning strikes
- ·Human activity
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to the risk of flooding and extreme weather events.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to bushfire.
- 3.Consider the impact of heatwaves on energy costs.
- 4.Inquire about insurance coverage and premiums.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Upgrade flood mitigation infrastructure
Near-termInvest in levees, drainage systems, and other infrastructure to reduce the risk of flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave preparedness plan
ImmediateImplement measures to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, such as cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement bushfire management strategies
Near-termConduct controlled burns, clear vegetation around buildings, and educate residents about bushfire safety.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn morePromote water conservation
Long-termEncourage residents and businesses to conserve water to reduce the strain on water resources during dry periods.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Jabiru's Climate Risk Profile
Jabiru, located in the heart of Kakadu National Park, is exposed to several climate-related risks. The most significant threat is flooding, which can occur during the wet season due to intense rainfall events. The town's proximity to rivers and floodplains increases its vulnerability.
Heatwaves are another major concern, with rising temperatures posing a risk to human health, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing medical conditions. The risk of bushfire is also present, especially during the dry season when vegetation becomes dry and flammable.
While Jabiru is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader region is experiencing the impacts of climate change, including rising sea levels and changes in rainfall patterns. These changes can have indirect effects on the town, such as disruptions to tourism and infrastructure.
Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including investments in flood mitigation infrastructure, heatwave preparedness plans, and bushfire management strategies. Community engagement and education are also essential to ensure that residents are aware of the risks and how to prepare for them.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
West Arnhem Regional Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks facing Jabiru?
The main climate change risks facing Jabiru are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change.
How is the local council preparing for climate change?
The West Arnhem Regional Council is developing climate adaptation strategies to address the risks facing Jabiru. These strategies include investments in flood mitigation infrastructure and heatwave preparedness plans.
What can I do to protect my property from flooding?
You can protect your property from flooding by elevating your home, installing flood barriers, and purchasing flood insurance.
How can I prepare for a heatwave?
You can prepare for a heatwave by staying hydrated, staying in air-conditioned environments, and avoiding strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day.
What should I do if a bushfire threatens my home?
If a bushfire threatens your home, you should evacuate immediately and follow the instructions of emergency services.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Jabiru, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections