Climate Risk in Gray, NT

Gray, Northern Territory
Updated Apr 2026

Gray, NT, faces moderate climate risks, primarily from heat and flooding. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Gray Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Gray, Northern Territory, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Gray

Flood

Gray faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Stormwater runoff

Bushfire

Gray has a relatively low bushfire risk compared to other regions in the Northern Territory. However, dry vegetation and strong winds can increase the potential for bushfires during the dry season.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Strong winds

Heat

Gray experiences high temperatures and humidity, particularly during the wet season. Climate change is expected to exacerbate heat stress, increasing the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased humidity

Coastal

Gray is located near the coast and is exposed to potential coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surge. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge

Wind

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Storm

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Social

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Energy

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In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Gray

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Gray experiences high temperatures and humidity, particularly during the wet season. Climate change is expected to exacerbate heat stress, increasing the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased humidity
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Gray faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Stormwater runoff
  • ·Sea level rise
Data source

coastal Risk

Gray is located near the coast and is exposed to potential coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surge. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

Gray has a relatively low bushfire risk compared to other regions in the Northern Territory. However, dry vegetation and strong winds can increase the potential for bushfires during the dry season.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Arson
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate-related risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heat stress.
  • 3.Consider the potential impact of sea level rise.
  • 4.Review insurance options and premiums.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve stormwater drainage

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater infrastructure to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement heat mitigation strategies

Immediate

Plant trees and create green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect. Provide cooling centers for vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Strengthen coastal defenses

Long-term

Construct seawalls and other coastal defenses to protect against sea level rise and storm surge.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop a community emergency plan

Near-term

Create a plan to prepare for and respond to extreme weather events, including heatwaves, floods, and bushfires.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Gray's Climate Risk Profile

Gray is a suburb in the Northern Territory that is subject to a range of climate-related risks. The most significant risks are associated with heat, flooding, and coastal hazards.

Rising temperatures and increased humidity are expected to exacerbate heat stress, particularly during the wet season. This could lead to health problems for vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses.

Flooding is another significant concern, with heavy rainfall events and stormwater runoff posing a threat to property and infrastructure. Sea level rise and storm surge could also increase the risk of coastal flooding.

While bushfire risk is relatively lower compared to other regions, it remains a concern during the dry season. Dry vegetation and strong winds can create conditions conducive to bushfires.

Addressing these climate risks will require a combination of adaptation and mitigation measures. This includes investing in infrastructure to manage stormwater runoff, implementing heat mitigation strategies, and reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Gray?

The main climate change risks in Gray are heatwaves, flooding, and coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surge.

How is the local council addressing climate change?

The City of Darwin has a climate change strategy that outlines actions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves?

Stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day, and seek out air-conditioned spaces. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

How can I protect my property from flooding?

Ensure that your property is properly drained, and consider installing flood barriers if you live in a flood-prone area. Check your insurance policy to ensure that you are covered for flood damage.

Where can I find more information about climate change in the Northern Territory?

You can find more information about climate change in the Northern Territory on the websites of the Northern Territory Government, the City of Darwin, and the Bureau of Meteorology.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Gray, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Gray's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Gray, NT | ClimateNest