Climate Risk Profile: Casuarina, NT
Casuarina faces a moderate climate risk profile, with the most significant threats stemming from heat, flooding, and coastal hazards. Rising temperatures and sea levels are expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Casuarina Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Casuarina, Northern Territory, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Casuarina
Flood
Casuarina faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff exceeding drainage capacity.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
The risk of bushfire in Casuarina is relatively low compared to other regions, but still present due to surrounding vegetation. Dry conditions and strong winds can increase the potential for fire spread.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Wind patterns
Heat
Casuarina experiences high temperatures and humidity, leading to significant heat stress during the summer months. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these conditions, increasing the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased humidity
Coastal
As a coastal suburb, Casuarina is vulnerable to the impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion. Storm surges and king tides can inundate low-lying areas, damaging infrastructure and property.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
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Energy
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In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Casuarina
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Casuarina experiences high temperatures and humidity, leading to significant heat stress during the summer months. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these conditions, increasing the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased humidity
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Casuarina faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff exceeding drainage capacity.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
coastal Risk
As a coastal suburb, Casuarina is vulnerable to the impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion. Storm surges and king tides can inundate low-lying areas, damaging infrastructure and property.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
The risk of bushfire in Casuarina is relatively low compared to other regions, but still present due to surrounding vegetation. Dry conditions and strong winds can increase the potential for fire spread.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Wind patterns
- ·Land management practices
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risk of flooding and coastal damage.
Price Impact
Properties in low-lying areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased flood risk.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess the property's elevation and drainage.
- 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
- 4.Consider the potential impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion.
- 5.Evaluate the property's vulnerability to heat stress.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade stormwater drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement Coastal Protection Measures
Long-termConstruct seawalls and other coastal defenses to protect against sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Est. cost: Very High
Learn moreDevelop Heat Action Plans
ImmediateImplement heat action plans to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Near-termEncourage water conservation measures to reduce demand on water resources during periods of drought and heat.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Casuarina's Climate Risk Profile
Casuarina, located in the Northern Territory, is a coastal suburb that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from intense rainfall and storm surges, heat stress due to rising temperatures, and coastal erosion from sea level rise.
The suburb's low-lying topography and proximity to the coast make it particularly susceptible to flooding. Climate change is projected to increase the intensity of rainfall events, leading to more frequent and severe flooding. Sea level rise will further exacerbate this risk by increasing the extent of inundation during storm surges and high tides.
Rising temperatures pose a significant threat to the health and well-being of Casuarina residents. The frequency and intensity of heatwaves are expected to increase, leading to higher rates of heat stress and heatstroke, particularly among vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect can further amplify these impacts.
Coastal erosion is another growing concern for Casuarina. Sea level rise is already causing erosion of beaches and foreshores, threatening coastal infrastructure and property. Increased storm intensity can accelerate this process, leading to further loss of land and damage to coastal assets.
Addressing these climate risks will require a combination of adaptation and mitigation measures. Adaptation strategies include improving drainage infrastructure, implementing coastal protection measures, and developing heat action plans. Mitigation efforts focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions to slow the pace of climate change.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
City of Darwin
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks facing Casuarina?
Casuarina faces significant risks from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion due to climate change. Rising sea levels and increased rainfall intensity are expected to exacerbate these risks.
How will climate change affect property values in Casuarina?
Properties in low-lying areas of Casuarina may experience a decrease in value due to increased flood risk and coastal erosion. Insurance premiums are also likely to increase.
What is the City of Darwin doing to address climate change?
The City of Darwin has implemented a climate change strategy that includes measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, improve energy efficiency, and adapt to the impacts of climate change.
What can residents do to prepare for climate change impacts?
Residents can take steps to prepare for climate change impacts by improving their home's flood resistance, conserving water, and developing a heat action plan.
Where can I find more information about climate change in Casuarina?
You can find more information about climate change in Casuarina on the City of Darwin website, the Northern Territory Government website, and the CSIRO website.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections