Climate Risk Assessment: Bakewell, NT
Bakewell is a suburb in Palmerston, Northern Territory, that faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. While bushfire and coastal risks are relatively low, the increasing intensity of heat and rainfall events due to climate change requires attention.
Is Bakewell Safe from Climate Risk?
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Bakewell
Flood
Bakewell faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from local waterways. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Bakewell has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its location and urban development. However, surrounding areas with vegetation pose a potential threat, especially during dry periods.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Wind patterns
Heat
Bakewell experiences high temperatures, particularly during the summer months, leading to heat stress risks for vulnerable populations. Climate change is projected to exacerbate these conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Bakewell is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from the coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Bakewell
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Bakewell experiences high temperatures, particularly during the summer months, leading to heat stress risks for vulnerable populations. Climate change is projected to exacerbate these conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Bakewell faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from local waterways. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Sea level rise
coastal Risk
Bakewell is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from the coast
bushfire Risk
Bakewell has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its location and urban development. However, surrounding areas with vegetation pose a potential threat, especially during dry periods.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Wind patterns
- ·Human activity
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to the rising risk of flooding and heatwaves.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heat stress.
- 3.Inquire about council plans for climate adaptation.
- 4.Ensure adequate insurance coverage for flood and heatwave damage.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade and expand drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce the risk of flooding.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement Heat Action Plan
ImmediateDevelop and implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Near-termEncourage water conservation measures to reduce water stress during prolonged dry periods and heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
Long-termEducate residents on bushfire safety and preparedness, including creating firebreaks and maintaining properties.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Bakewell's Climate Risk Profile
Bakewell, located in the City of Palmerston, is subject to a range of climate-related risks that are expected to intensify in the coming decades. The most significant threats are flooding from increased rainfall and heatwaves during the summer months. The suburb's proximity to local waterways increases its vulnerability to flooding, while rising temperatures pose health risks, especially for the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions.
Bushfire risk is comparatively lower due to the urbanized nature of Bakewell, but surrounding areas with more vegetation could pose a threat during dry seasons. Coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location.
Climate change projections indicate that Bakewell will experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, as well as increased rainfall intensity, leading to a higher risk of flooding. These changes necessitate proactive adaptation measures to protect the community and infrastructure.
Residents and local authorities should focus on strategies to mitigate the impacts of flooding and heatwaves, such as improving drainage infrastructure, implementing heat action plans, and promoting water conservation. Preparing for potential bushfire events in surrounding areas is also important. Long-term planning should consider climate change projections to ensure the sustainability and resilience of Bakewell.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
City of Palmerston
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Bakewell?
The primary climate change risks for Bakewell are increased flooding due to more intense rainfall events and more frequent and severe heatwaves.
How will climate change affect property values in Bakewell?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value, while increased heatwave risks could also impact property desirability.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Bakewell?
The City of Palmerston is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies, including improving drainage infrastructure and promoting water conservation.
How can I prepare my home for increased heatwaves?
You can prepare your home by installing insulation, using energy-efficient appliances, and creating shaded outdoor areas. Consider installing air conditioning if you don't already have it.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Bakewell?
You can find information about flood risks on the City of Palmerston website and through the Northern Territory Government's emergency management resources.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Bakewell, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections