Climate Risk in Yarrawarrah, NSW

Yarrawarrah, New South Wales· Sutherland Shire· 2233
Updated May 2026

Yarrawarrah is a suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate climate risks. The primary concerns are flooding and bushfires, with increasing heat and coastal risks also present. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Yarrawarrah Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Yarrawarrah, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Yarrawarrah

Flood

Yarrawarrah faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and overflowing of local creeks. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

Yarrawarrah has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Yarrawarrah experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves expected in the future.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Yarrawarrah faces a moderate coastal risk due to its proximity to the coast. Sea level rise and storm surges are potential threats.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

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Social

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Energy

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In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Yarrawarrah

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Yarrawarrah experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves expected in the future.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Yarrawarrah faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and overflowing of local creeks. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

Yarrawarrah faces a moderate coastal risk due to its proximity to the coast. Sea level rise and storm surges are potential threats.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

Yarrawarrah has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Climate change
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurers are likely to increase premiums in response to increasing climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to extreme weather events.
  • 3.Consider the cost of insurance and potential for increased premiums.
  • 4.Investigate the local council's climate adaptation plans.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems and implement flood barriers to protect properties from inundation.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Clear vegetation around properties, develop a bushfire survival plan, and install fire-resistant building materials.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Heatwave Management

Near-term

Establish cooling centers, promote energy-efficient building design, and provide support for vulnerable residents during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Coastal Protection

Long-term

Implement coastal erosion control measures and protect coastal ecosystems to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and storm surges.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Near-term

Develop and implement community education programs to raise awareness about climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Yarrawarrah's Climate Risk Profile

Yarrawarrah, located in the Sutherland Shire of New South Wales, is exposed to a range of climate-related risks. The suburb's proximity to bushland elevates the bushfire risk, particularly during the hot and dry summer months. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these conditions, leading to more frequent and intense bushfire seasons.

Flooding is another significant concern for Yarrawarrah. Heavy rainfall events can cause local creeks and waterways to overflow, inundating properties and disrupting infrastructure. The risk of flooding is projected to increase as climate change leads to more intense rainfall patterns.

Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves pose a threat to the health and well-being of Yarrawarrah residents, especially the elderly and vulnerable. The urban heat island effect can further amplify these risks in densely built-up areas.

While Yarrawarrah is not directly on the coast, it is still susceptible to coastal risks such as sea level rise and storm surges. These events can cause erosion and damage to coastal infrastructure, impacting the suburb's economy and lifestyle.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Yarrawarrah?

The main climate risks in Yarrawarrah are flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards.

How is climate change expected to impact Yarrawarrah?

Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, such as floods, bushfires, and heatwaves, in Yarrawarrah.

What can I do to prepare for climate change in Yarrawarrah?

You can prepare for climate change by clearing vegetation around your property, developing a bushfire survival plan, improving your home's energy efficiency, and staying informed about local emergency plans.

Where can I find more information about climate risks in Yarrawarrah?

You can find more information about climate risks in Yarrawarrah on the Sutherland Shire Council website, the NSW Rural Fire Service website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.

Is my property in Yarrawarrah at risk of flooding?

You can check the Sutherland Shire Council's flood maps to determine if your property is at risk of flooding.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The Sutherland Shire Council has a climate strategy in place to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Yarrawarrah, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections