Climate Risk in Yarravel, New South Wales
Yarravel faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. Bushfire risk is moderate, while coastal risks are relatively low. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Yarravel Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Yarravel, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Yarravel
Flood
Yarravel faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Macleay River. Riverine flooding can inundate low-lying areas.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise impacting river flow
Bushfire
Bushfire risk in Yarravel is moderate, with surrounding bushland posing a threat during dry periods and high winds.
Key drivers:
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Increased fuel load
Heat
Yarravel is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, impacting vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Coastal risks are low in Yarravel due to its inland location, but sea level rise may indirectly affect riverine flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Yarravel
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Yarravel is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, impacting vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Yarravel faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Macleay River. Riverine flooding can inundate low-lying areas.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise impacting river flow
- ·Changes in land use
coastal Risk
Coastal risks are low in Yarravel due to its inland location, but sea level rise may indirectly affect riverine flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
bushfire Risk
Bushfire risk in Yarravel is moderate, with surrounding bushland posing a threat during dry periods and high winds.
Primary Drivers
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Increased fuel load
- ·Higher temperatures
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the elevated risk of flooding and bushfires.
Price Impact
Property values may be negatively impacted by the increasing risk of extreme weather events.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures
- 3.Consider the impact of heatwaves on property value
- 4.Review insurance coverage and premiums
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
ImmediateUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement Bushfire Management Strategies
Near-termClear vegetation around properties and implement firebreaks to reduce the risk of bushfire damage.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop a Heatwave Management Plan
ImmediateEstablish cooling centers and provide support for vulnerable populations during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreRaise Community Awareness
Long-termEducate residents about climate change risks and adaptation measures.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreStrengthen Riverbank Protection
Near-termImplement measures to protect riverbanks from erosion and reduce the risk of flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreAbout Yarravel's Climate Risk Profile
Yarravel, located in the Macleay Valley, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concern is the elevated risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Macleay River. Climate projections indicate that rainfall intensity is likely to increase, leading to more frequent and severe flood events.
Bushfire risk is also a factor, with surrounding bushland posing a threat during dry periods. Higher temperatures and drier conditions are expected to exacerbate this risk. Heatwaves are projected to become more frequent and intense, impacting the health and well-being of residents, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions.
While Yarravel is not directly on the coast, sea level rise may indirectly affect riverine flooding by impeding river flow. It is crucial for residents to stay informed about weather warnings and emergency procedures.
Adaptation measures, such as improving drainage infrastructure and implementing bushfire management strategies, are essential to mitigate these risks. Community awareness and preparedness are also vital for building resilience to climate change impacts.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Kempsey Shire Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Yarravel?
The main climate change risks in Yarravel are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Flooding is a significant concern due to the proximity of the Macleay River. Bushfire risk is elevated due to surrounding bushland, and heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense.
How will climate change affect property values in Yarravel?
Climate change may negatively impact property values in Yarravel due to the increasing risk of extreme weather events. Properties in flood-prone areas or those at high risk of bushfire damage may experience a decline in value.
What can I do to prepare for flooding in Yarravel?
To prepare for flooding in Yarravel, you should check flood maps and historical flood data, elevate your home if possible, and develop a flood emergency plan. Stay informed about weather warnings and emergency procedures.
How can I protect my home from bushfires in Yarravel?
To protect your home from bushfires in Yarravel, clear vegetation around your property, install firebreaks, and ensure that your home is well-maintained. Have a bushfire survival plan in place.
What support is available during heatwaves in Yarravel?
During heatwaves in Yarravel, cooling centers may be established to provide relief from the heat. Stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Contact emergency services if you experience heatstroke symptoms.
Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Yarravel?
You can find more information about climate change impacts in Yarravel from the Kempsey Shire Council, the NSW Department of Planning and Environment, and the CSIRO.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections