Climate Risk Profile: Yarragal, NSW

Yarragal, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Yarragal faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Yarragal Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Yarragal, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Yarragal

Flood

Yarragal faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

Yarragal has a high bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Drier vegetation

Heat

Yarragal experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Yarragal is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Yarragal

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Yarragal experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Yarragal faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

Yarragal is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

bushfire Risk

Yarragal has a high bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Drier vegetation
  • ·Stronger winds
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the rising risk of extreme weather events.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area maps.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to extreme weather events.
  • 3.Consider the cost of insurance and potential for future premium increases.
  • 4.Inquire about council plans for climate adaptation.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in improved drainage systems and flood barriers to protect properties from flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Clear vegetation around properties, develop a bushfire survival plan, and install fire-resistant building materials.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Preparedness

Immediate

Install air conditioning or fans, stay hydrated, and avoid strenuous activity during heatwaves. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Near-term

Implement community education programs to raise awareness about climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Upgrade Building Codes

Long-term

Update building codes to require more climate-resilient construction materials and designs.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

About Yarragal's Climate Risk Profile

Yarragal is a suburb in New South Wales that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Changes in rainfall patterns and rising temperatures are expected to worsen these hazards.

Flooding is a significant concern due to the suburb's proximity to waterways. Intense rainfall events can overwhelm drainage systems and cause property damage. Bushfire risk is elevated due to the surrounding bushland, with hot, dry conditions creating ideal conditions for fires to spread rapidly.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect can further exacerbate temperatures in built-up areas. Sea level rise is not a direct threat to Yarragal.

Adapting to these changes will require a combination of individual actions, community initiatives, and government policies. Residents should take steps to protect their homes and prepare for extreme weather events. Local authorities need to invest in infrastructure improvements and implement strategies to mitigate climate risks.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Yarragal?

The main climate risks facing Yarragal are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare my home for a flood?

You can prepare your home for a flood by elevating appliances, installing flood barriers, and clearing gutters and downpipes.

What should I do during a bushfire?

During a bushfire, follow your bushfire survival plan, evacuate if necessary, and stay informed about the latest fire updates.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity, and seek shelter in air-conditioned environments.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The council is implementing a climate strategy that includes measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

Where can I find more information about climate risks in Yarragal?

You can find more information about climate risks in Yarragal on the council website, the NSW SES website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Yarragal, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections