Climate Risk in Wynnum, NSW

Wynnum, New South Wales
Updated Apr 2026

Wynnum is a suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding, heatwaves and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Wynnum Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Wynnum, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Wynnum

Flood

Wynnum faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

The bushfire risk in Wynnum is relatively low due to the suburb's location and limited vegetation. However, hotter and drier conditions could increase the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Wynnum is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

As a coastal suburb, Wynnum is exposed to the impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion. These risks are expected to worsen with climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Wynnum

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Wynnum is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Wynnum faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

As a coastal suburb, Wynnum is exposed to the impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion. These risks are expected to worsen with climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

The bushfire risk in Wynnum is relatively low due to the suburb's location and limited vegetation. However, hotter and drier conditions could increase the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Vegetation dryness
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums are likely to increase due to rising climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price stagnation or decline.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider the potential impact of sea level rise.
  • 4.Review insurance options and premiums.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flash flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a heat action plan

Immediate

Implement measures to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, such as cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen coastal defenses

Long-term

Construct seawalls and other coastal defenses to protect against erosion and storm surges.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Raise awareness of climate risks

Near-term

Educate residents about the potential impacts of climate change and how to prepare for extreme weather events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Wynnum's Climate Risk Profile

Wynnum, NSW, is a suburb that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding due to increased rainfall intensity and sea level rise, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and coastal hazards such as erosion and storm surges.

The risk of flooding is a significant concern for Wynnum. The suburb's proximity to waterways and low-lying areas makes it susceptible to both riverine and flash flooding. Climate change is projected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe flood events. Sea level rise will further exacerbate the risk by increasing the base water level and making coastal areas more vulnerable to inundation.

Heatwaves are another growing threat to Wynnum. As temperatures rise, the suburb is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. The urban heat island effect can further amplify the impact of heatwaves in densely populated areas.

Coastal hazards are also a concern for Wynnum. Sea level rise is expected to increase the risk of coastal erosion and storm surges, potentially damaging property and infrastructure along the coastline. The suburb's location makes it particularly vulnerable to these impacts.

Addressing these climate risks will require a combination of adaptation and mitigation measures. Adaptation strategies may include improving drainage infrastructure, implementing early warning systems for extreme weather events, and developing heat action plans to protect vulnerable populations. Mitigation efforts will focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions to slow the pace of climate change.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Wynnum?

The main climate change risks in Wynnum include flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards such as erosion and storm surges. These risks are expected to worsen in the coming decades due to increased rainfall intensity, rising temperatures, and sea level rise.

How will climate change affect property values in Wynnum?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price stagnation or decline due to the potential impacts of flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. Buyers should carefully assess the climate risks associated with a property before making a purchase.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Wynnum?

During heatwaves, it is important to stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity, and seek shelter in air-conditioned environments. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members, and be aware of the signs of heatstroke.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Wynnum?

You can find information about flood risks in Wynnum on the NSW State Emergency Service (SES) website and from the local council. These resources provide flood maps, historical flood data, and advice on how to prepare for floods.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Wynnum?

The local council is responsible for developing and implementing climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies. Contact the council directly for information on their specific plans and initiatives.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Wynnum, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Wynnum's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Wynnum, NSW | ClimateNest