Climate Risk in Welby, NSW
Welby is a suburb in the Southern Highlands of New South Wales, facing increasing risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves due to climate change. The suburb's proximity to bushland and waterways contributes to these vulnerabilities. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Welby Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Welby, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Welby
Flood
Welby faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Welby has a high bushfire risk due to its location surrounded by bushland. Dry conditions and strong winds exacerbate the risk during bushfire season.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Welby experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected in the future.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Welby is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Welby
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Welby experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected in the future.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Welby faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Climate change
bushfire Risk
Welby has a high bushfire risk due to its location surrounded by bushland. Dry conditions and strong winds exacerbate the risk during bushfire season.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Strong winds
- ·Climate change
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Property values may be affected by increasing climate risks.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
- 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand policy coverage.
- 4.Develop a bushfire survival plan.
- 5.Consider energy efficiency and water conservation measures.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in drainage upgrades and flood barriers to protect properties from flood damage.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreEnhance Bushfire Preparedness
ImmediateImplement stricter building codes for bushfire-prone areas and conduct regular hazard reduction burns.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop a Heatwave Management Plan
Near-termEstablish cooling centers and provide support for vulnerable residents during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termEncourage water-efficient landscaping and implement water restrictions during dry periods.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Welby's Climate Risk Profile
Welby, located in the Wingecarribee Shire, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns for the suburb are the rising risks of flooding and bushfires, exacerbated by changing weather patterns and increased temperatures.
The risk of flooding in Welby is heightened due to its location near waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding, impacting properties and infrastructure. Climate change projections indicate an increase in rainfall intensity, further elevating this risk.
Bushfire risk is also a significant concern for Welby, given its proximity to extensive bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds during the bushfire season create a high-risk environment. Climate change is expected to prolong bushfire seasons and increase the frequency of extreme fire weather.
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Welby, posing a threat to vulnerable populations. Rising average temperatures and the urban heat island effect contribute to this risk. Residents should take precautions to stay cool and hydrated during heatwaves.
While Welby is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and economic activity, can still affect the suburb. Adapting to these changes and building resilience is crucial for the community's long-term well-being.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Wingecarribee Shire Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Welby?
Welby faces increasing risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves due to climate change. These risks are driven by more intense rainfall events, prolonged dry periods, and rising temperatures.
How can I prepare my property for bushfires in Welby?
You can prepare your property by maintaining firebreaks, clearing gutters of debris, and having a bushfire survival plan. It's also important to stay informed about fire danger ratings and warnings.
What should I do during a heatwave in Welby?
During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Welby?
You can find information about flood risks on the Wingecarribee Shire Council website, including flood maps and guidance on flood preparedness.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Welby?
The Wingecarribee Shire Council is developing and implementing climate strategies to reduce emissions and build resilience to climate impacts. These strategies include promoting renewable energy, improving energy efficiency, and enhancing disaster preparedness.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections