Climate Risk in Waverly, NSW

Waverly, New South Wales· Waverley· 2024
Updated May 2026

Waverly faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Sea level rise and increased rainfall intensity are key drivers of these risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Waverly Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Waverly, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Waverly

Flood

Waverly faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to coastal areas and drainage infrastructure. Intense rainfall events can lead to localised flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Bushfire risk in Waverly is relatively low due to its urban environment and limited vegetation. However, ember attacks from distant fires remain a potential concern.

Key drivers:

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry vegetation

Heat

Waverly experiences a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during summer. Urban heat island effect exacerbates the impact of extreme heat events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Waverly faces a moderate to high risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and coastal erosion. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Waverly

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Waverly experiences a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during summer. Urban heat island effect exacerbates the impact of extreme heat events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Data source

flood Risk

Waverly faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to coastal areas and drainage infrastructure. Intense rainfall events can lead to localised flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Waverly faces a moderate to high risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and coastal erosion. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

Bushfire risk in Waverly is relatively low due to its urban environment and limited vegetation. However, ember attacks from distant fires remain a potential concern.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Wind patterns
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in areas prone to flooding and coastal erosion.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and coastal hazard information.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance coverage and premiums.
  • 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making purchasing decisions.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Invest in improved drainage systems to mitigate the risk of flooding from intense rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement Heatwave Early Warning System

Immediate

Develop and implement a heatwave early warning system to alert vulnerable residents and provide guidance on staying safe during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Strengthen Coastal Defenses

Long-term

Implement coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and beach nourishment, to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Est. cost: Very High

Learn more

Promote Green Infrastructure

Near-term

Increase green spaces and tree canopy cover to reduce the urban heat island effect and improve stormwater management.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Waverly's Climate Risk Profile

Waverly, a coastal suburb in Sydney, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from intense rainfall and rising sea levels, heatwaves exacerbated by the urban heat island effect, and coastal erosion. These hazards pose a threat to property, infrastructure, and public health.

Flooding is a significant concern due to the suburb's proximity to the coast and existing drainage infrastructure limitations. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe flooding events. Sea level rise further exacerbates this risk, inundating low-lying areas and increasing the likelihood of coastal flooding.

Heatwaves are another major threat, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. The urban heat island effect, caused by the concentration of buildings and paved surfaces, amplifies the impact of extreme heat events. Rising average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves are projected to increase heat-related illnesses and deaths.

Coastal erosion is an ongoing issue, with rising sea levels and increased storm intensity accelerating the erosion of beaches and coastal infrastructure. This poses a threat to property values and recreational amenities. Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of adaptation measures, such as improved drainage infrastructure, heatwave early warning systems, and coastal protection strategies.

Mitigation efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions are also crucial to limit the long-term impacts of climate change. Residents and businesses can contribute by reducing their carbon footprint through energy efficiency, renewable energy adoption, and sustainable transportation choices. Collective action is essential to protect Waverly from the growing threat of climate change.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Waverly?

The main climate change risks in Waverly are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These risks are driven by increased rainfall intensity, rising sea levels, and rising average temperatures.

How is Waverley Council addressing climate change?

Waverley Council is implementing a range of measures to address climate change, including upgrading drainage infrastructure, promoting green infrastructure, and developing a heatwave early warning system.

What can residents do to prepare for climate change?

Residents can prepare for climate change by checking flood maps, assessing their property's vulnerability to heatwaves, inquiring about insurance coverage, and considering long-term climate risks when making purchasing decisions.

Where can I find more information about flood risks in Waverly?

You can find more information about flood risks in Waverly on the Waverley Council website, including flood maps and guidance on flood mitigation measures.

How will sea level rise affect Waverly?

Sea level rise is projected to inundate low-lying coastal areas, increase coastal erosion, and exacerbate the risk of coastal flooding in Waverly.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Waverly, use our analysis tool.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk in Waverly, NSW | ClimateNest