Climate Risk in Waverley, NSW

Waverley, New South Wales· Waverley· 2024
Updated May 2026

Waverley faces moderate climate risks, primarily from heatwaves and coastal hazards. The suburb's urban environment exacerbates the heat island effect, while low-lying coastal areas are vulnerable to sea level rise and storm surges. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Waverley Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Waverley, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Waverley

Flood

Waverley faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to coastal areas and waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff and potential inundation of low-lying areas.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Bushfire risk in Waverley is relatively low due to its urban environment and limited vegetation. However, nearby parks and reserves could pose a risk during extreme fire weather conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry vegetation

Heat

Waverley experiences a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Urban areas can exacerbate the heat island effect, leading to higher temperatures and increased health risks for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Waverley faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and coastal erosion. Low-lying coastal areas are vulnerable to inundation during storm surges and high tides.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Waverley

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Waverley experiences a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Urban areas can exacerbate the heat island effect, leading to higher temperatures and increased health risks for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Waverley faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to coastal areas and waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff and potential inundation of low-lying areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Waverley faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and coastal erosion. Low-lying coastal areas are vulnerable to inundation during storm surges and high tides.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

Bushfire risk in Waverley is relatively low due to its urban environment and limited vegetation. However, nearby parks and reserves could pose a risk during extreme fire weather conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Extreme weather events
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Increased premiums for coastal properties

Price Impact

Potential for reduced property values in high-risk areas

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and coastal erosion risk assessments
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves
  • 3.Inquire about council's climate adaptation plans
  • 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related risks

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Implement green infrastructure

Near-term

Plant trees and create green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect and improve stormwater management.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Upgrade drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Improve drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Strengthen coastal defenses

Long-term

Construct seawalls and other coastal defenses to protect against sea level rise and storm surges.

Est. cost: Very High

Learn more

Develop community awareness programs

Immediate

Educate residents about the risks of climate change and how to prepare for extreme weather events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Waverley's Climate Risk Profile

Waverley, located in the eastern suburbs of Sydney, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Rising temperatures, changing rainfall patterns, and sea level rise pose significant challenges to the community and infrastructure.

Heatwaves are a major concern for Waverley, with urban areas experiencing higher temperatures due to the heat island effect. This can lead to increased health risks, particularly for elderly and vulnerable populations. Coastal areas are also at risk from sea level rise and storm surges, which can cause inundation and erosion.

Flooding is another potential hazard, with intense rainfall events leading to stormwater runoff and potential inundation of low-lying areas. Bushfire risk is relatively low due to the suburb's urban environment, but nearby parks and reserves could pose a risk during extreme fire weather conditions.

Addressing these climate risks requires a coordinated effort from local government, residents, and businesses. Implementing adaptation measures, such as green infrastructure, improved building design, and community awareness programs, can help reduce the impacts of climate change and build a more resilient community.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Waverley?

The main climate change risks in Waverley include heatwaves, coastal flooding, and changes in rainfall patterns.

How is Waverley Council addressing climate change?

Waverley Council has implemented a number of initiatives to address climate change, including promoting sustainable transport, reducing energy consumption, and improving waste management.

What can residents do to prepare for climate change?

Residents can take steps to prepare for climate change by conserving water, reducing energy consumption, and developing an emergency plan.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Waverley?

More information about climate change in Waverley can be found on the Waverley Council website and the NSW Department of Planning and Environment website.

Is my property at risk from sea level rise?

Properties in low-lying coastal areas of Waverley are at risk from sea level rise. Check the council's coastal hazard maps for more information.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Waverley, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Waverley's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk in Waverley, NSW | ClimateNest