Climate Risk in Warragoon, New South Wales

Warragoon, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Warragoon faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Bushfire risk is also a concern. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events in the future.

Is Warragoon Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Warragoon, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Warragoon

Flood

Warragoon faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

The bushfire risk in Warragoon is moderate. The area is surrounded by bushland, which can act as a fuel source during dry periods. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Warragoon is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Coastal risks are low in Warragoon due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Warragoon

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Warragoon is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Warragoon faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Coastal risks are low in Warragoon due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

The bushfire risk in Warragoon is moderate. The area is surrounded by bushland, which can act as a fuel source during dry periods. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Potential for decreased property values in high-risk areas.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency
  • 4.Review insurance options

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade drainage infrastructure and implement flood barriers to protect properties.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a Heatwave Response Plan

Immediate

Establish cooling centers and provide support for vulnerable residents during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Bushfire Mitigation

Near-term

Implement vegetation management programs and improve building standards in bushfire-prone areas.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Educate residents about climate risks and how to prepare for extreme weather events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Warragoon's Climate Risk Profile

Warragoon is a suburb in New South Wales that is exposed to a range of climate-related risks. The most significant risks are flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also being a concern. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events, posing a threat to the community and its assets.

The risk of flooding in Warragoon is driven by increased rainfall intensity and the potential for more frequent and severe storms. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable. Heatwave risk is driven by rising temperatures, which can lead to heat stress and other health problems, especially for vulnerable populations.

Bushfire risk is driven by drier conditions and increased fuel loads. The surrounding bushland can act as a source of ignition, and fires can spread quickly under dry and windy conditions. Coastal risks are low due to the suburb's inland location.

Residents and businesses in Warragoon should take steps to prepare for these risks. This includes developing emergency plans, investing in flood protection measures, and taking steps to reduce their carbon footprint. The local council is also working to address climate change and build resilience in the community.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Warragoon?

The main climate risks are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare for a flood in Warragoon?

You can prepare by developing an emergency plan, investing in flood protection measures, and staying informed about flood warnings.

What should I do during a heatwave in Warragoon?

During a heatwave, stay hydrated, stay cool, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Seek medical attention if you experience heat stress symptoms.

How can I protect my property from bushfires in Warragoon?

You can protect your property by clearing vegetation around your home, maintaining your roof and gutters, and having a bushfire survival plan.

What is the local council doing to address climate change in Warragoon?

The local council is developing a climate strategy, investing in flood mitigation infrastructure, and promoting energy efficiency.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Warragoon, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections