Climate Risk in Warilla, NSW
Warilla is a coastal suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should take steps to prepare for these hazards.
Is Warilla Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Warilla, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Warilla
Flood
Warilla faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to Lake Illawarra and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff and riverine flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
The risk of bushfire in Warilla is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of fire.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Warilla is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. High temperatures can pose a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Warilla faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and coastal erosion. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Warilla
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Warilla is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. High temperatures can pose a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Warilla faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to Lake Illawarra and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff and riverine flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Warilla faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and coastal erosion. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
bushfire Risk
The risk of bushfire in Warilla is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of fire.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums may increase due to climate risks.
Price Impact
Property values may be affected by climate risks.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps
- 2.Assess bushfire risk
- 3.Consider coastal erosion risk
- 4.Evaluate energy efficiency
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement Bushfire Management Plans
Near-termDevelop and implement bushfire management plans to reduce the risk of fire damage.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreProtect Coastal Areas from Erosion
Long-termImplement coastal protection measures to reduce the impact of sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Est. cost: High
Learn morePromote Energy Efficiency
ImmediateEncourage energy efficiency to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and mitigate climate change.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity Awareness Programs
ImmediateEducate residents about climate risks and preparedness measures.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Warilla's Climate Risk Profile
Warilla, located on the coast of New South Wales, is exposed to a range of climate-related risks. The suburb's proximity to Lake Illawarra and the ocean makes it vulnerable to flooding and coastal erosion. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, further exacerbating these risks.
Flooding is a significant concern for Warilla, with intense rainfall events capable of causing widespread inundation. Sea level rise is also expected to increase the risk of coastal flooding, particularly in low-lying areas. Bushfire risk is present due to the presence of nearby bushland, with hotter, drier conditions increasing the likelihood of fire.
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a threat to public health, especially for vulnerable populations. Coastal erosion is also a concern, with rising sea levels and increased storm intensity threatening coastal infrastructure and property.
Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation measures. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions is essential to slow the pace of climate change. Local adaptation strategies include improving drainage infrastructure, implementing bushfire management plans, and protecting coastal areas from erosion. Community awareness and preparedness are also crucial for minimizing the impacts of climate change.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Shellharbour City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Warilla?
Warilla faces risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion.
How is climate change expected to affect Warilla?
Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, exacerbating existing risks.
What can I do to prepare for climate change in Warilla?
You can take steps to reduce your risk from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. This includes improving your home's energy efficiency and preparing an emergency plan.
Where can I find more information about climate change in Warilla?
You can find more information on the Shellharbour City Council website and the websites of state emergency services.
Is my property in Warilla at risk from flooding?
Check the council's flood maps to determine if your property is located in a flood zone.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Warilla, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections