Climate Risk in Upsalls Creek, NSW
Upsalls Creek faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Bushfire risk is also present. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Upsalls Creek Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Upsalls Creek, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Upsalls Creek
Flood
Upsalls Creek faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
The area around Upsalls Creek has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Hot weather
Heat
Upsalls Creek is likely to experience an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Upsalls Creek is not directly exposed to coastal hazards. The risk from sea level rise and coastal erosion is minimal.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Upsalls Creek
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Upsalls Creek is likely to experience an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Upsalls Creek faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Climate change
coastal Risk
Upsalls Creek is not directly exposed to coastal hazards. The risk from sea level rise and coastal erosion is minimal.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
The area around Upsalls Creek has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Hot weather
- ·Wind
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risk.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps
- 2.Assess bushfire risk
- 3.Consider energy efficiency
- 4.Review insurance options
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as levees, drainage improvements, and flood-proofing buildings.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop Heat Action Plan
ImmediateImplement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreEnhance Bushfire Preparedness
Near-termImplement bushfire management strategies, including vegetation clearing, fire breaks, and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termEncourage water conservation measures to reduce water stress during droughts and heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Upsalls Creek's Climate Risk Profile
Upsalls Creek, located in New South Wales, is projected to experience increasing climate-related challenges in the coming decades. The primary risks include flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. Changes in rainfall patterns and rising temperatures are expected to exacerbate these hazards.
Flooding is a significant concern due to the suburb's proximity to waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to both riverine and flash flooding, impacting homes, businesses, and infrastructure. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of these rainfall events, further elevating the flood risk.
Heatwaves are also expected to become more frequent and severe, posing a threat to public health, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect may further amplify the impact of heatwaves in densely built-up areas.
While the coastal risk is low, bushfire risk is moderate. The surrounding vegetation can become dry and flammable during hot, dry periods, increasing the likelihood of bushfires. Residents should be aware of bushfire safety measures and have a plan in place in case of an emergency.
Adapting to these climate risks will require a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies, including reducing greenhouse gas emissions, improving infrastructure resilience, and implementing community awareness programs.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Upsalls Creek?
The main climate risks are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. These risks are projected to increase in the coming decades due to climate change.
How can I prepare for flooding in Upsalls Creek?
You can prepare by checking flood maps, having an emergency plan, and considering flood-proofing your home.
What should I do during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.
How can I protect my home from bushfires?
You can protect your home by clearing vegetation around your property, having a bushfire survival plan, and ensuring you have adequate insurance coverage.
Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Upsalls Creek?
You can find more information on the council website, the Bureau of Meteorology website, and the CSIRO website.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections