Climate Risk Profile: Upper Turon, NSW

Upper Turon, New South Wales
Updated Apr 2026

Upper Turon faces moderate risks from flooding and bushfires, with increasing trends due to climate change. Heatwaves also pose a threat. Coastal risks are negligible due to its inland location.

Is Upper Turon Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Upper Turon, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Upper Turon

Flood

Flooding can occur from heavy rainfall events, particularly along watercourses. The risk is moderate due to the area's topography and drainage patterns.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use

Bushfire

The area is susceptible to bushfires due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Dry conditions and high winds can exacerbate the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load

Heat

Heatwaves can pose a risk to vulnerable populations. The frequency and intensity of heatwaves are projected to increase.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Upper Turon is not located near the coast, therefore the risk of coastal hazards is very low.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Upper Turon

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Heatwaves can pose a risk to vulnerable populations. The frequency and intensity of heatwaves are projected to increase.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Flooding can occur from heavy rainfall events, particularly along watercourses. The risk is moderate due to the area's topography and drainage patterns.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use
Data source

coastal Risk

Upper Turon is not located near the coast, therefore the risk of coastal hazards is very low.

bushfire Risk

The area is susceptible to bushfires due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Dry conditions and high winds can exacerbate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the elevated risk of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Consider the potential impact of climate change on property value.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Construct levees and improve drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: High

Bushfire Fuel Management

Immediate

Implement regular fuel reduction programs to minimize the risk of bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Preparedness

Near-term

Establish cooling centers and promote heat-safe practices to protect vulnerable populations.

Est. cost: Low

Community Education

Long-term

Raise awareness about climate risks and adaptation measures through community workshops and outreach programs.

Est. cost: Low

About Upper Turon's Climate Risk Profile

Upper Turon, NSW, is an inland area that faces several climate-related challenges. The primary concerns are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. While coastal risks are minimal, the community needs to prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Flooding is a significant concern due to the local topography and drainage patterns. Heavy rainfall can lead to flash flooding, impacting properties and infrastructure. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating the risk.

Bushfires are another major threat, with the surrounding bushland providing ample fuel. Drier conditions and higher temperatures increase the likelihood of bushfires, potentially endangering lives and property. Proactive measures are needed to manage fuel loads and improve fire preparedness.

Heatwaves can also pose a risk, particularly to vulnerable populations. Rising average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves can lead to heat stress and other health issues. It is important to implement strategies to mitigate the impacts of heatwaves, such as providing cooling centers and promoting heat-safe practices.

Addressing these climate risks requires a coordinated effort involving local government, emergency services, and the community. By taking proactive measures, Upper Turon can build resilience and protect its residents from the impacts of climate change.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Upper Turon?

The main climate risks are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location.

How is climate change expected to impact Upper Turon?

Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, such as heatwaves, bushfires, and floods.

What can residents do to prepare for climate change?

Residents can take steps to reduce their vulnerability to climate risks, such as improving flood defenses, managing fuel loads, and preparing for heatwaves.

What is the local council doing to address climate change?

The local council is responsible for implementing climate adaptation measures and promoting community resilience.

Where can I find more information about climate risks in Upper Turon?

You can find more information on the websites of the NSW State Emergency Service, the NSW Rural Fire Service, and the Bureau of Meteorology.

Get your property's risk report

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections