Climate Risk in Upper Horton, New South Wales
Upper Horton faces significant climate risks, particularly from bushfires, heatwaves and flooding. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change, potentially impacting property values and community well-being. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Upper Horton Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Upper Horton, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Upper Horton
Flood
Upper Horton faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and nearby waterways. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Changes in river flow
Bushfire
Upper Horton has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and prevailing dry conditions. Climate change is projected to exacerbate this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier vegetation
Heat
Upper Horton experiences a high number of hot days, and this is expected to increase with climate change, posing risks to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·More frequent heatwaves
Coastal
Upper Horton is not exposed to coastal risks.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Upper Horton
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Upper Horton experiences a high number of hot days, and this is expected to increase with climate change, posing risks to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·More frequent heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Upper Horton faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and nearby waterways. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Changes in river flow
- ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
bushfire Risk
Upper Horton has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and prevailing dry conditions. Climate change is projected to exacerbate this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier vegetation
- ·More frequent heatwaves
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.
Price Impact
Property values may be negatively impacted by increasing climate risks.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Review insurance options and costs.
- 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making property decisions.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Bushfire Preparedness
ImmediateImplement bushfire management plans, clear vegetation around properties, and ensure access to water for firefighting.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreDevelop Heatwave Management Plan
Near-termEstablish cooling centers, provide public awareness campaigns, and ensure vulnerable populations have access to support during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreUpgrade Flood Defenses
Long-termImprove drainage infrastructure, construct flood levees, and implement early warning systems.
Est. cost: High
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Near-termImplement water restrictions, encourage water-efficient landscaping, and invest in water recycling infrastructure.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Upper Horton's Climate Risk Profile
Upper Horton is a rural area in New South Wales that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The region is prone to bushfires due to its proximity to extensive bushland, and heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense. Changes in rainfall patterns are also increasing the risk of flooding.
The primary climate risks for Upper Horton include bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. Bushfire risk is driven by hotter, drier conditions and increased fuel loads. Heatwave risk is driven by rising average temperatures and more frequent extreme heat events. Flood risk is driven by more intense rainfall events and changes in river flow.
Climate projections indicate that these risks will continue to increase in the future. By 2030 and 2050, Upper Horton is expected to experience more frequent and intense bushfires, heatwaves, and floods. These changes could have significant impacts on the community, including damage to property, disruption to infrastructure, and increased health risks.
Adapting to these changes will require a range of measures, including improving bushfire preparedness, implementing heatwave management plans, and upgrading flood defenses. It is also important to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to mitigate the long-term impacts of climate change. Residents should stay informed about local risks and take steps to protect themselves and their property.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
UNKNOWN
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Upper Horton?
The main climate change risks in Upper Horton are bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change.
How can I prepare my property for bushfires?
You can prepare your property for bushfires by clearing vegetation around your home, ensuring you have access to water for firefighting, and developing a bushfire survival plan.
What should I do during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, it is important to stay hydrated, stay cool, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and friends.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Upper Horton?
You can find information about flood risks in Upper Horton on the NSW Government's flood maps website and from the local council.
How is the local council addressing climate change?
The local council is currently developing a climate strategy to address climate change risks and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Check the council website for updates.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Upper Horton, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections