Climate Risk Profile: Upper Copmanhurst, NSW

Upper Copmanhurst, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Upper Copmanhurst faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Bushfire risk is also a consideration. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Upper Copmanhurst Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Upper Copmanhurst, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Upper Copmanhurst

Flood

Upper Copmanhurst faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Clarence River and surrounding waterways. Heavy rainfall events can lead to riverine flooding, impacting low-lying areas.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding

Bushfire

The area around Upper Copmanhurst has a moderate bushfire risk. The presence of bushland increases the potential for fire ignition and spread, particularly during dry periods.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Upper Copmanhurst is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Upper Copmanhurst is not directly exposed to coastal hazards. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this inland suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from the coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Upper Copmanhurst

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Upper Copmanhurst is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Upper Copmanhurst faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Clarence River and surrounding waterways. Heavy rainfall events can lead to riverine flooding, impacting low-lying areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
Data source

coastal Risk

Upper Copmanhurst is not directly exposed to coastal hazards. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this inland suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

The area around Upper Copmanhurst has a moderate bushfire risk. The presence of bushland increases the potential for fire ignition and spread, particularly during dry periods.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Windy conditions
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price fluctuations.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider the impact of heatwaves on property value and comfort.
  • 4.Review insurance coverage and premiums.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in flood levees and drainage infrastructure to protect properties from riverine flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, such as clearing vegetation and creating firebreaks.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Action Plan

Near-term

Develop a community heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable residents during periods of extreme heat.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Upgrade Building Codes

Long-term

Incorporate climate resilience measures into building codes to ensure new constructions are better equipped to withstand extreme weather events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Near-term

Conduct community education programs to raise awareness about climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Upper Copmanhurst's Climate Risk Profile

Upper Copmanhurst, located in the Clarence Valley region of New South Wales, is subject to several climate-related risks. The primary concern is flooding due to its proximity to the Clarence River. Heavy rainfall can cause the river to overflow, inundating low-lying areas and potentially disrupting infrastructure.

Bushfire risk is also present, particularly during the dry season. The surrounding bushland can act as fuel, increasing the likelihood of fire ignition and spread. Residents should maintain their properties and be aware of fire safety guidelines.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing health risks to vulnerable populations. It is important to stay hydrated, seek shade, and take precautions during periods of extreme heat.

While Upper Copmanhurst is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader region may experience indirect impacts from sea level rise and coastal erosion. Monitoring these changes is important for long-term planning and adaptation.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Upper Copmanhurst?

The main climate risks are flooding from the Clarence River, bushfires, and heatwaves.

How can I prepare my property for flooding?

You can prepare by elevating your home, installing flood barriers, and ensuring proper drainage.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay hydrated, seek shade, and avoid strenuous activities during the hottest part of the day.

Where can I find information about bushfire safety?

You can find information on the NSW Rural Fire Service website.

Is climate change expected to worsen these risks?

Yes, climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves in the region.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The Clarence Valley Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies to reduce the impacts of climate change on the community.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Upper Copmanhurst, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Upper Copmanhurst's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Upper Copmanhurst, NSW | ClimateNest