Climate Risk in Upper Burringbar, NSW

Upper Burringbar, New South Wales· Tweed Shire· 2483
Updated May 2026

Upper Burringbar faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. While not directly coastal, the suburb could be indirectly affected by coastal hazards. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events.

Is Upper Burringbar Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Upper Burringbar, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Upper Burringbar

Flood

Upper Burringbar faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

The area around Upper Burringbar has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Upper Burringbar is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Upper Burringbar is not directly on the coast, so the coastal risk is relatively low. However, sea level rise and storm surges could indirectly impact the area.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

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Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Upper Burringbar

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Upper Burringbar is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Upper Burringbar faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
Data source

coastal Risk

Upper Burringbar is not directly on the coast, so the coastal risk is relatively low. However, sea level rise and storm surges could indirectly impact the area.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
Data source

bushfire Risk

The area around Upper Burringbar has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risk of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in areas with higher flood or bushfire risk may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Review council's climate adaptation plans.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade and expand drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Mitigation Measures

Immediate

Implement vegetation management programs, create firebreaks, and educate residents on bushfire preparedness.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Preparedness Plan

Near-term

Develop a community heatwave plan that includes cooling centers, public awareness campaigns, and support for vulnerable populations.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen Building Codes

Long-term

Update building codes to require more resilient construction materials and designs that can withstand extreme weather events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Near-term

Conduct workshops and seminars to educate residents about climate change risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Upper Burringbar's Climate Risk Profile

Upper Burringbar, located in the Tweed Shire of New South Wales, is a rural community that faces a range of climate-related challenges. The primary concerns are increasing flood risk due to more intense rainfall, heightened bushfire danger from hotter and drier conditions, and more frequent and severe heatwaves.

The suburb's proximity to waterways makes it vulnerable to flooding, and climate change is expected to exacerbate this risk. Increased rainfall intensity can overwhelm drainage systems and cause significant damage to property and infrastructure. Residents should be aware of flood warnings and have evacuation plans in place.

The surrounding bushland also poses a bushfire threat, particularly during the dry season. Higher temperatures and reduced rainfall are creating conditions that are more conducive to bushfires. Property owners should maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.

Heatwaves are becoming more common and intense, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations. It is important to stay hydrated, seek shelter in cool places, and check on elderly or ill neighbors during periods of extreme heat.

While Upper Burringbar is not directly on the coast, sea level rise and storm surges could have indirect impacts, such as disrupting transportation and supply chains. The community needs to work together to adapt to these challenges and build resilience to climate change.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Upper Burringbar?

The main risks are increased flooding, more frequent and intense bushfires, and more severe heatwaves. Sea level rise could also have indirect impacts.

How is the Tweed Shire Council addressing climate change?

The council has developed a climate strategy that includes measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. They are also working to improve drainage infrastructure and manage bushfire risk.

What can I do to prepare for flooding in Upper Burringbar?

Stay informed about flood warnings, develop an evacuation plan, and ensure your property is adequately insured. Consider installing flood-proofing measures.

How can I protect my home from bushfires?

Maintain your property by clearing vegetation and removing flammable materials. Install fire-resistant building materials and have a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay hydrated, seek shelter in cool places, and check on elderly or ill neighbors. Avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day.

Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Upper Burringbar?

You can find information on the Tweed Shire Council website, the NSW Office of Environment and Heritage website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Upper Burringbar, use our analysis tool.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections